Model Picks
0AI Analysis
Travis Kelce u40.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 37.73 (Under)
The Chiefs are a 12-point favorite, suggesting a rushing game script, with projections indicating the game will have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays at 125 and Travis Kelce experiencing a decrease in target percentage and air yards compared to last year, while the Raiders' pass defense allows the 6th-lowest completion rate to tight ends.
AI Analysis
Geno Smith u1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-275) Projection 0.79 (Under)
The Las Vegas Raiders are projected to run 61.1 offensive plays in their upcoming game, the lowest among all teams this week, while opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.8 pass attempts against the Chiefs, who allow 1.17 passing TDs per game, ranking 5th best in the NFL, and their cornerbacks are rated as the best in defending receivers.
AI Analysis
Geno Smith o199.5 Passing Yards (-115) Projection 213.21 (Over)
The Las Vegas Raiders are a -12-point underdog this week, projected to pass on 61.1% of their offensive plays, while opposing offenses have a 75.9% adjusted completion rate against the Kansas City Chiefs defense.
AI Analysis
Isiah Pacheco o10.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 13.54 (Over)
The Kansas City Chiefs are projected to have the league's highest pass rate at 70.3%, Isiah Pacheco has increased his route participation from 33.5% to 52.8%, their offensive line ranks 6th in pass-blocking, and the Las Vegas Raiders safeties are the lowest-rated unit in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
Xavier Worthy o41.5 Receiving Yards (-118) Projection 51.86 (Over)
The Kansas City Chiefs are projected to have the highest pass rate in the league at 70.4%, with their offensive line ranked 7th in pass-blocking, while the Raiders have allowed the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% and 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL, with their safeties regarded as the worst in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
Isiah Pacheco Score a Touchdown (Yes: +190)
Isiah Pacheco is favored in a home matchup against the Raiders, who allow 1.3 rushing touchdowns per game, with his competition's roles diminishing.
AI Analysis
Rashee Rice o64.5 Receiving Yards
Rashee Rice had 79 catches for 938 yards and seven touchdowns on 102 targets as a rookie in 2023, after finishing with 29 receptions for 288 yards and two touchdowns in three games prior to a season-ending injury.
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