NBA picks
Toronto
Raptors · Away
Oklahoma City
Thunder · Home
Model Picks
12Team Leaders
Oklahoma City Thunder
Toronto Raptors
AI Analysis
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander u33.5 Points Scored (-120) Projection 30.87 (Under)
The Raptors have faced the weakest opposing starting PGs in terms of three-point shooting at 23.6% at home, while also playing at the 5th-slowest pace, and the Thunder rank last in offensive rebounding, impacting scoring opportunities.
AI Analysis
RJ Barrett o12.5 Points Scored (-112) Projection 14.74 (Over)
The matchup against the Thunder features the second-highest three-point shooting rate by opposing starting shooting guards at 44.1%, with Oklahoma City playing at the fifth-fastest pace, while the Raptors rank fifth in offensive rebounds with 13.1 per game.
AI Analysis
Collin Murray-Boyles u2.5 Total Assists (+127) Projection 2.08 (Under)
The Toronto Raptors rank 5th in the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
AI Analysis
Collin Murray-Boyles u9.5 Points Scored (-118) Projection 8.22 (Under)
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense and have the 5th-slowest pace of play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
AI Analysis
Aaron Wiggins u4.5 Total Rebounds (+110) Projection 4.15 (Under)
The Raptors rank 5th-slowest in pace over the last 25 games, potentially decreasing possessions for the Thunder, who are the worst in offensive rebounding over the last 5 games.
AI Analysis
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander u34.5 Points Scored (-125) Projection 30.87 (Under)
This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 23.6% shooting on threes against the Raptors at home, while the Raptors play at the 5th-slowest pace, and the Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding team in the last 5 games, resulting in fewer scoring opportunities.
AI Analysis
Collin Murray-Boyles u10.5 Points Scored (-125) Projection 8.71 (Under)
The Toronto Raptors have the 5th-lowest scoring offense and have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
AI Analysis
Collin Murray-Boyles u2.5 Total Assists (-110) Projection 2.11 (Under)
The Toronto Raptors have ranked 5th in the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
AI Analysis
Chet Holmgren o28.5 Points and Rebounds
Last year, the Thunder played without Chet Holmgren, who appeared in only 32 games due to injury, and this year his role is expected to increase as the team's injury list grows.
AI Analysis
Brandon Ingram o3.5 Total Assists (+130) Projection 3.98 (Over)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have the 5th-quickest pace of play in the league at home over the last 15 games, while the Raptors rank 5th in offensive rebounds with 13.1 per game during the same period.
AI Analysis
Collin Murray-Boyles u2.5 Total Assists (+113) Projection 2.11 (Under)
The Toronto Raptors have had the 5th-slowest pace of play in the NBA over their last 25 games.
AI Analysis
Immanuel Quickley o14.5 Points Scored (-115) Projection 16.91 (Over)
Immanuel Quickley has averaged 21.0 points per game over his last 5 games, which is 4.0 points higher than his overall average this season, while the matchup against the Thunder features the highest three-point attempts per game from opposing starting PGs in the NBA and the Raptors rank 5th in offensive rebounds, benefiting from the Thunder's fast pace and high foul draw on opposing guards.
AI Analysis
Sandro Mamukelashvili u12.5 Points Scored (-105) Projection 10.34 (Under)
The Toronto Raptors have the 5th-lowest scoring offense and the 5th-slowest pace of play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
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