NBA picks
Miami
Heat · Away
Phoenix
Suns · Home
Model Picks
9Team Leaders
Phoenix Suns
Miami Heat
AI Analysis
Bam Adebayo u18.5 Points Scored (-105) Projection 17.23 (Under)
The Miami Heat have a 45.0% field goal rate, the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, and are expected to face a decrease in plays against the Phoenix Suns, who have the 6th-slowest tempo at home in the last 10 games.
AI Analysis
Mark Williams o9.5 Total Rebounds (+118) Projection 10.28 (Over)
The Miami Heat have the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this season, while the Phoenix Suns rank 4th in offensive rebounding over the last 15 games, which can lead to increased scoring opportunities.
AI Analysis
Bam Adebayo u18.5 Points Scored (-102) Projection 16.99 (Under)
The Miami Heat have a 45.0% field goal rate, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, and are expected to generate fewer plays against the Phoenix Suns, who have the 6th-slowest tempo at home in the last 10 games.
AI Analysis
Andrew Wiggins o13.5 Points Scored (-120) Projection 15.47 (Over)
The Miami Heat lead the NBA in pace this season and have excelled in offensive rebounding over the last five games, while the Phoenix Suns' starting power forwards have averaged 4.3 free throw attempts per game at home, the second-most in the league.
AI Analysis
Mark Williams o8.5 Total Rebounds (-120) Projection 10.29 (Over)
The Heat lead the NBA in pace-of-play this season, creating more opportunities for the Suns, who rank 4th in offensive rebounding over the last 15 games.
AI Analysis
Mark Williams o11.5 Points Scored (-110) Projection 13.13 (Over)
The Heat have the fastest pace of play in the NBA this season, creating opportunities for the Suns, who rank 4th in offensive rebounding over the last 15 games.
AI Analysis
Dillon Brooks o22.5 Points Scored
With Devin Booker out and Jalen Green questionable, Brooks is expected to have increased offensive responsibilities against Miami, having averaged 23.9 points per game at home and scored 25 points in their first matchup this season.
AI Analysis
Bam Adebayo u1.5 3-Pointers Made (-130) Projection 1.12 (Under)
The Heat are projected to have fewer plays in their upcoming game against the Phoenix Suns, who have the 6th slowest tempo at home in the NBA over the last 10 games.
AI Analysis
Dillon Brooks u22.5 Points Scored (-114) Projection 20.45 (Under)
The Suns rank 5th-weakest in the league with 112.1 points per game at home over the last 10 games and have the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense during that period.
AI Analysis
Bam Adebayo u18.5 Points Scored (-108) Projection 16.95 (Under)
The Miami Heat have the second-worst field goal rate in the NBA at 45.0% over the last 25 games and are expected to face decreased offensive plays against the Phoenix Suns, who rank 6th in slowest tempo at home in the last 10 games.
AI Analysis
Grayson Allen u19.5 Points Scored (-111) Projection 17.27 (Under)
The Suns rank 5th-weakest in home offense with 112.1 points per game over the last 10 games and have the 6th-slowest pace-of-play during that period, while opposing starting SGs against the Heat have averaged 1.0 free throw attempts per game, the 4th-fewest in the NBA.
AI Analysis
Grayson Allen u20.5 Points Scored (-107) Projection 18.27 (Under)
The Suns rank 5th-weakest in the league with 112.1 points per game at home over the last 10 games and have the 6th-slowest home offense pace, while opposing starting SGs have averaged 1.0 free throw attempts per game against the Heat in the last 5 home games.
AI Analysis
Collin Gillespie o16.5 Points Scored (-115) Projection 18.96 (Over)
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting point guards have averaged 23.1 points per game against the Miami Heat, who play at the fastest pace in the NBA, while the Suns have the 4th-best offensive rebounding rate and opposing PGs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game against the Heat.
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