NFL picks
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Model Picks
1AI Analysis
Rashid Shaheed o23.5 Receiving Yards
Since joining Seattle, Shaheed has encountered primarily zone-heavy defenses, while the Patriots, who utilize man coverage at the 6th highest rate, allow an average of 42.7 yards per game to WR3.
AI Analysis
Sam Darnold o19.5 Passing Completions
Darnold, who threw 25 completions on 36 attempts against the Rams, now has two weeks to recover from an oblique injury and will face the man-heavy Patriots secondary after playing primarily in zone schemes over his last ten games.
AI Analysis
Rashid Shaheed o15.5 Longest Reception
Shaheed, known for his deep ball threat and speed, faces New England's man-centric secondary, which could lead to significant gains due to JSN being double-covered.
AI Analysis
Hunter Henry o37.5 Receiving Yards
Drake Maye faces a challenging Seattle pass rush that excels with a four-man rush, while tight end Henry serves as a key short yardage option and is projected to gain up to 46 yards in Super Bowl LX.
AI Analysis
George Holani o1.5 Receptions Made
The Patriots' run defense is effective in the playoffs, while Mike Vrabel plans to focus on neutralizing the Seahawks' ground game and increasing pressure on Sam Darnold, with George Holani stepping up as a key running back in light of Zach Charbonnet's absence.
AI Analysis
Rashid Shaheed Score a Touchdown (Yes: +350)
Shaheed, a home run threat, faces a man-heavy scheme from the Patriots that allows him to leverage his speed and separation, while Seattle employs him in the running game with creative handoffs, providing multiple options to score.
AI Analysis
Rhamondre Stevenson o50.5 Rushing Yards
Stevenson has been the primary focus of the offense, recording over 320 rushing yards in four games, including a 25-carry game, while handling 90% of the RB opportunities against the Broncos.
AI Analysis
Kenneth Walker III o21.5 Receiving Yards
Kenneth Walker has averaged 36.8 receiving yards over the last five games and will have a heavy workload against the Patriots, who allowed the sixth most receptions to running backs this season.
AI Analysis
Drake Maye o218.5 Passing Yards
He averaged 258.4 yards per game over 14 of 17 regular-season games and is expected to perform well against Seattle's defense, which has allowed significant yardage to opposing quarterbacks.
AI Analysis
Sam Darnold o229.5 Passing Yards
Sam Darnold passed for 4,048 yards in the regular season and excelled in the NFC Conference Championship with 346 yards on 25-of-36 completions.
AI Analysis
Drake Maye o13.5 Longest Rush
Maye achieved notable rushing gains of 37 yards against the Chargers and 28 yards against the Broncos, recording runs of at least 14 yards in four of his last six games, while the Seahawks have not faced a mobile quarterback like Maye since Week 9.
AI Analysis
Rhamondre Stevenson o50.5 Rushing Yards
Stevenson has exceeded his rushing total in eight consecutive games and accounts for 77% of New England's running back rushing yards this postseason.
AI Analysis
Jake Bobo o0.5 Receiving Yards
Jake Bobo, a 6-foot-4 receiver who primarily serves as a run blocker, has caught two passes for 17 yards in two postseason games, including a touchdown, and is viewed as a potential option in Klint Kubiak's play-action schemes.
AI Analysis
Rhamondre Stevenson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +160)
Rhamondre Stevenson has been a key player for the Patriots in the playoffs, has not scored yet in the tournament despite recently reclaiming the RB1 role, and his touchdown odds are currently favorable at +135.
AI Analysis
Drake Maye Score First Touchdown (Yes: +1300)
The Seahawks have allowed only five rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs in 19 games, while Patriots quarterback Drake Maye has four rushing scores in the regular season and one in the AFC title game.
AI Analysis
AJ Barner Score First Touchdown (Yes: +1200)
A.J. Barner, a 23-year-old tight end, scored six touchdowns and had one rushing touchdown during the regular season, often participating in quarterback sneaks and short-yardage plays against the Patriots.
AI Analysis
Mack Hollins Score a Touchdown (Yes: +425)
Hollins missed four games after Week 16 but previously led the team with seven targets per game and logged the most snaps among Patriots wide receivers in crucial games, while the Seahawks have allowed only five rushing touchdowns, indicating a potential advantage for passing strategies.
AI Analysis
Rashid Shaheed Score a Touchdown (Yes: +350)
Rashid Shaheed has two kickoff-return touchdowns and one punt-return touchdown in 11 games, making him a potential game-changer with opportunities for big plays.
AI Analysis
Elijah Arroyo Score a Touchdown (Yes: +1000)
Elijah Arroyo, who has not played since Week 14, could still play a significant role in the Super Bowl with about 40% of snaps and a notable target rate, making him a value pick for a touchdown.
AI Analysis
Sam Darnold o5.5 Rushing Yards
Seattle quarterback Sam Darnold is expected to rush for between 9 and 12 yards, particularly if he needs to escape a collapsing pocket.
AI Analysis
Austin Hooper Score a Touchdown (Yes: +850)
A San Francisco native and former Stanford player scored a touchdown in Santa Clara, while a player who scored in Super Bowl 51 with the Falcons is now seeking a Lombardi trophy with the team that defeated him in 2017, as the Seahawks have struggled against tight ends this season and the Patriots favor their 12 personnel.
AI Analysis
Rhamondre Stevenson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +140)
Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to handle over 80% of the carries for the Patriots, dominating the backfield with 25 carries against Denver while TreVeyon Henderson had only three.
AI Analysis
Kenneth Walker III u73.5 Rushing Yards
Kenneth Walker III faced challenges against strong run defenses, as evidenced by his limited performance against the Rams and his struggles against top-ranked defenses in the regular season.
AI Analysis
Drake Maye o13.5 Longest Rush
Patriots QB Drake Maye has rushed for 14+ yards in five of his last seven games, often pressured due to poor pass protection, and will face a Seattle team with the sixth-highest pressure rate in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Hunter Henry o39.5 Receiving Yards
Henry recorded over 45 receiving yards in five of his last seven regular season games and accumulated 64 yards in the Wild Card Round, while Seattle's defense allowed the fifth-most receptions and sixth-most yards to tight ends during the regular season.
AI Analysis
George Holani o1.5 Receptions Made
The Patriots have effectively limited rushing yards by running backs but have struggled defensively against receiving running backs, allowing the fifth-most receptions in the regular season, which benefits Seahawks backup RB George Holani, who is expected to play a larger role due to Zach Charbonnet's injury and has shown proficiency in pass blocking.
AI Analysis
Rashid Shaheed o20.5 Receiving Yards
Shaheed will face a man-centric defense in Super Bowl LX, with projections for his receiving yards exceeding 30, and previously recorded 114 yards against a similar defense.
AI Analysis
Byron Murphy II o0.3 Sacks
Seattle DT Byron Murphy II, who tied for the team lead with seven sacks and ranked seventh in QB pressures among interior linemen, is expected to exploit favorable matchups against rookie LG Jared Wilson in Super Bowl 60.
AI Analysis
DeMarcus Lawrence o0.3 Sacks
Drake Maye has struggled with holding the ball too long and was sacked 47 times in the regular season, plus 15 more in the playoffs, facing a tough Seahawks pass rush and coverage in the Super Bowl, with DeMarcus Lawrence leading the edge rushers in productivity.
AI Analysis
Jaylinn Hawkins u4.5 Tackles+Assists - FT
Both teams have low pace rankings, leading to fewer offensive plays and tackles, while Patriots safety Jaylinn Hawkins has recorded fewer than 4.5 tackles in his last five games and is expected to have limited opportunities due to Seattle's conservative offensive strategy.
AI Analysis
Ernest Jones IV u8.5 Tackles+Assists - FT
Seahawks linebacker Ernest Jones IV has recorded fewer than 8.5 tackles in four straight games, averaging 6.0 total tackles per game during that period, as both teams rank near the bottom of the league in pace, resulting in fewer offensive plays and tackles.
AI Analysis
Marcus Jones o0.5 Defensive Interceptions - FT
Sam Darnold has thrown 11 interceptions in his last 13 games, primarily on short and intermediate throws, while Marcus Jones, who covers slot receivers, has a team-high four interceptions and 15 passes defended during the regular season and playoffs.
AI Analysis
Mack Hollins o2.5 Receptions Made
In his first game off IR after missing four games, he played more snaps than Stefon Diggs and had two catches that constituted 20% of the team's receptions and 59% of passing yards, having previously averaged seven targets per game with a 22.2% target share.
AI Analysis
Cooper Kupp o3.5 Receptions Made
Kupp recorded 47 receptions for 593 yards in the regular season, contributing significantly to the Seahawks offense and maintaining performance in the playoffs with five catches against the 49ers and four against the Rams.
AI Analysis
Jaxon Smith-Njigba o95.5 Receiving Yards
Smith-Njigba recorded 92 yards or more in 14 of 19 games, achieving a 76.3 catch percentage, 11.7 aDoT, and 35.7% target share, while New England's defense faced the easiest schedule according to DVOA and ranked 31st against No. 1 wide receivers.
AI Analysis
Rhamondre Stevenson o48.5 Rushing Yards
Stevenson has accounted for 68% of the Patriots' backfield carries and played 72.5% of offensive snaps this postseason, exceeding 50 rushing yards in six of seven games since the bye and averaging 5.9 yards per carry.
AI Analysis
Stefon Diggs u45.5 Receiving Yards
Diggs led New England with 1,013 receiving yards in the regular season but has been inconsistent, logging under 45 yards in four consecutive games, including playoffs, while ranking 10th among WRs in receiving grade against man coverage but only 75.4 against zone, which Seattle employs frequently.
AI Analysis
Kenneth Walker III o99.5 Rush and Rec Yards
Walker has significantly contributed to the Seattle offense during the playoffs and is expected to perform similarly in the Super Bowl.
AI Analysis
AJ Barner o0.5 Rushing Yards
The New England Patriots' defense finished the regular season ranked 32nd in short-yardage success rate, permitting an 85% conversion rate on third- and fourth-and-short rushing attempts.
AI Analysis
Rhamondre Stevenson u24.5 Receiving Yards
Super Bowl LX's receiving yards total for Stevenson opened at 18.5 yards, later fluctuating to 25.5 yards on gameday, with player projections ranging from 19.85 to 23.93 yards.
AI Analysis
Drake Maye u6.5 Rushing Attempts
Maye has rushed for 141 yards on 24 carries, including 16 true attempts, with projections around six carries, while sportsbooks show varied odds on Over and Under 6.5 rush attempts.
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