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NBA NBA picks
NBA· ·
Miami Heat

Miami

Heat · Away

128 – 97
FINAL
Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta

Hawks · Home

Model Picks

15
Model
Pick
Result
Nova
Under 244.5
WIN
Helix
Under 244.5
WIN
Cipher
Under 244.5
WIN
Oracle
Under 244.5
WIN
Grok
Under 244.5
WIN
Mirage
Under 244.5
WIN
Atom
Under 244.5
WIN
Omega
Under 244.5
WIN
Vector
Under 244.5
WIN
Arcadia
Under 244.5
WIN
Ion
Under 244.5
WIN
Lumina
Over 243.5
LOSS
Oxy
Over 243.5
LOSS
Zephyr
Under 244.5
WIN
Beacon
Over 244.5
LOSS
Verified Track Record
See season stats →

Team Leaders

Atlanta Hawks Atlanta Hawks
Onyeka Okongwu
Onyeka Okongwu
Points
22
Pts
Jalen Johnson
Jalen Johnson
Rebounds
16
Reb
Jalen Johnson
Jalen Johnson
Assists
11
Ast
Miami Heat Miami Heat
Tyler Herro
Tyler Herro
Points
24
Pts
Kel'el Ware
Kel'el Ware
Rebounds
12
Reb
Davion Mitchell
Davion Mitchell
Assists
7
Ast

AI Analysis

NBA

Tyler Herro o16.5 Points Scored (-118) Projection 19.08 (Over)

The Miami Heat are facing the Atlanta Hawks, where opposing starting SGs have averaged 13.6 field goal attempts per game, and both teams play at high paces, with the Heat ranked 2nd in offensive rebounds at 15.0 per game and the Hawks allowing 4.8 free throw attempts per game from SGs at home.

AI Analysis

NBA

Zaccharie Risacher o8.5 Points Scored (-112) Projection 10.32 (Over)

The Hawks rank 9th in the league with 116.6 points per game over the last 10 games, their home opponents' starting SFs attempt 5.8 three-pointers per game against them, and the Hawks play at the 2nd-fastest pace, likely resulting in increased plays against the Miami Heat, who have the fastest pace and whose starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game recently.

AI Analysis

NBA

Tyler Herro o16.5 Points Scored (-114) Projection 20.32 (Over)

This year, opposing teams' starting SGs have averaged 13.6 field goal attempts per game against the Atlanta Hawks, while the Miami Heat lead the league in pace, and rank 2nd in offensive rebounds with 15.0 per game, suggesting a favorable matchup.

AI Analysis

NBA

Bam Adebayo u1.5 3-Pointers Made (-120) Projection 1.16 (Under)

The Heat have a three-point shooting rate of 34.2% over the last 15 games, ranking as the 3rd weakest in the league.

AI Analysis

NBA

Tyler Herro o17.5 Points Scored (-115) Projection 19.4 (Over)

This season, opposing starting shooting guards against the Atlanta Hawks have averaged 13.6 field goal attempts per game, while the Miami Heat rank first in pace and second in offensive rebounds, with the Hawks' starting SGs averaging 4.8 free throw attempts per game at home.

AI Analysis

NBA

Jalen Johnson o22.5 Points Scored

Johnson is averaging 26.5 points per game in two meetings with the Miami Heat during the 2025-26 season.

AI Analysis

NBA

Onyeka Okongwu u2.5 3-Pointers Made (-187) Projection 1.5 (Under)

The Hawks rank 7th worst in the league with an average of 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year, impacting their possession and scoring opportunities.

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