NBA picks
Houston
Rockets · Away
Miami
Heat · Home
Model Picks
15Team Leaders
Miami Heat
Houston Rockets
AI Analysis
Tyler Herro o20.5 Points Scored
Tyler Herro has played four games since a rib injury, scoring 25 points on 9-for-18 shooting in a loss to Philadelphia.
AI Analysis
Reed Sheppard u15.5 Points Scored (-120) Projection 13.56 (Under)
The Houston Rockets have the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games and have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games without home court advantage.
AI Analysis
Amen Thompson o15.5 Points Scored (-112) Projection 17.82 (Over)
In their last 10 games, opposing starting point guards have averaged 23.1 points per game against the Miami Heat, while the Houston Rockets rank first in offensive rebounding and are expected to face the fastest-paced team this season.
AI Analysis
Jaime Jaquez Jr. u14.5 Points Scored (-117) Projection 12.45 (Under)
The Miami Heat are the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games, while the Houston Rockets have the slowest tempo away from home in the last 20 games.
AI Analysis
Pelle Larsson o10.5 Points Scored (-112) Projection 12.69 (Over)
Pelle Larsson has averaged 15.6 points per game at home over the last 5 games, which is 4.2 points higher than his overall home average this year, while the Miami Heat lead the NBA in pace-of-play and rank 2nd in offensive rebounding over the last 20 games.
AI Analysis
Tari Eason o13.5 Points Scored (-110) Projection 15.67 (Over)
The Houston Rockets face the Miami Heat, who have the 7th-most field goal attempts from starting SFs (12.2) and the highest pace-of-play in the NBA this season, while the Rockets lead in offensive rebounding and opposing starting SFs have averaged 6.0 foul shot attempts per game in the last 5 games.
AI Analysis
Pelle Larsson o10.5 Points Scored (-115) Projection 12.69 (Over)
Pelle Larsson has averaged 15.6 points per game in his last 5 home games, 4.2 points higher than his overall home average this season, while the Houston matchup favors three-point shooting for opposing starting small forwards who average 2.4 threes per game, and the Miami Heat currently play at the fastest pace and rank 2nd in offensive rebounding over the last 20 games.
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