NCAAB picks
Michigan State
Michigan St · Away
UConn
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Model Picks
11Team Leaders
UConn Huskies
Michigan State Spartans
AI Analysis
Coen Carr o5.5 Rebounds
Coen Carr has been impactful for Michigan State in the tournament, recording 10 rebounds in the win over Louisville and averaging six or more boards in 15 of his last 23 games.
AI Analysis
Alex Karaban o1.5 3 Point FG
Alex Karaban has made four three-pointers in each of the Huskies' first two tournament games, while MSU's defense is more effective in the paint than on the perimeter.
AI Analysis
Alex Karaban o13.5 Points
Karaban's inside-out production aligns well with Michigan State's defense, as he has made 8 of 17 three-pointers in the tournament and is projected to score around 15 points.
AI Analysis
JK Jaxon Kohler u10.5 Points
Jaxon Kohler may see reduced playing time against UConn as Tom Izzo adjusts his lineup to better match up with Alex Karaban, potentially impacting Kohler's effectiveness and point total.
AI Analysis
SD Silas Demary Jr. u9.5 Points
UConn guard Silas Demary Jr. is recovering from a high ankle sprain that affected his performance in the tournament, scoring only two points in the second round, and he faces a challenging matchup against the Spartans, who are ranked 13th in adjusted defense.
AI Analysis
Alex Karaban o2.5 3 Point FG
Michigan State's defensive scheme prioritizes interior defense at the cost of leaving perimeter shooters open, resulting in a rank of 345th in opponent 3-point rate, which Dan Hurley aims to exploit with his outside shooters, particularly relying on senior Alex Karaban who has a 39.4% 3-point shooting rate.
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