MLB picks
Kansas City
Royals · Away
Atlanta
Braves · Home
Model Picks
21Team Leaders
Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Salvador Perez is projected in the 94th percentile for home run talent and is hitting 4th in today's lineup, while Truist Park ranks as the 9th best venue for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters and has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, contributing to more offensive plays; also, the Atlanta Braves outfield defense is projected as the 9th worst among the teams playing today.
AI Analysis
Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+156) Projection 0.65 (Over)
Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile for home run ability according to THE BAT X and is projected to bat 4th in today's game at Truist Park, which, being the 9th-best venue for boosting base hits to righties and the 3rd-highest in altitude in Major League Baseball, may enhance his performance.
AI Analysis
Austin Riley o0.5 Total Home Runs
The Royals will start 36-year-old Seth Lugo, who allowed three home runs in nine spring innings, and faced the Braves last year where they hit two home runs off him, with Austin Riley holding a .910 OPS and two home runs against Lugo in his career.
AI Analysis
Grant Holmes o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+134) Projection 5.66 (Over)
Grant Holmes is projected in the 85th percentile for strikeouts and averages 94.3 adjusted pitches per game, while Gabe Morales is expected to be the umpire, and Truist Park is the 10th best ballpark for strikeouts according to THE BAT, with favorable weather conditions ranking 8th for pitching.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.