Los Angeles
Dodgers · Away
Washington
Nationals · Home
Model Picks
14Team Leaders
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
AI Analysis
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (-104) Projection 1.94
Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, batting 2nd in the lineup with wind blowing out to center field at 11.5 mph, and has a favorable matchup against Miles Mikolas.
AI Analysis
Will Smith o1.5 Total Bases (+110) Projection 1.87
Will Smith is ranked as the 16th-best hitter in the majors by THE BAT X, is projected to hit 5th in the lineup, and has recorded a 21.4% Barrel% and an average exit velocity of 101.6-mph on flyballs over the past week, while the wind is expected to blow out to center field at 11.5-mph during the game.
AI Analysis
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+110) Projection 1.83
Teoscar Hernandez is projected in the 94th percentile for BABIP by THE BAT X, with the wind blowing out to center field at 11.5 mph, an 82nd percentile opposite-field flyball rate, and a power metric ranking in the 78th percentile with 24.9 homers per 600 plate appearances since last season.
AI Analysis
Will Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+142) Projection 0.72
Will Smith is ranked as the 16th-best hitter according to THE BAT X, projected to bat 5th in the lineup, with wind conditions of 11.5 mph blowing out to center field, a recent Barrel% of 21.4%, and an average exit velocity of 101.6 mph on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Alex Freeland u0.5 Total Hits (+129) Projection 0.7
Alex Freeland's batting average talent is projected to be in the 19th percentile, he is batting 9th in the lineup today, has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 22% of the time against right-handed pitchers since last season, and Nationals Park is ranked 27th for left-handed batting average.
AI Analysis
Brady House u1.5 Total Bases (-251) Projection 0.76
Nationals Park is the #4 ballpark for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed batters, Emmet Sheehan has a platoon advantage against Brady House, who has a 10.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate compared to a 5.1 Expected HR/600, ranks in the 4th percentile for launch angle at 5.9°, and has an Isolated Power rate of .148 since last season, placing him in the 8th percentile.
AI Analysis
Jorbit Vivas u0.5 Total Hits (-113) Projection 0.49
Jorbit Vivas is projected to hit 7th in the batting order, with a BABIP talent in the 10th percentile and flyball exit velocity in the 5th percentile at 84 mph, while Nationals Park is ranked #27 for left-handed batting average.
AI Analysis
Alex Freeland u1.5 Total Bases (-244) Projection 0.7
Alex Freeland is projected to have an 18th percentile batting average and is batting 9th in today’s lineup, while facing a disadvantage at Nationals Park, a stadium known for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed batters, and his .287 wOBA exceeds his .251 Expected wOBA based on THE BAT X.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.