MLB picks
Kansas City
Royals · Away
Detroit
Tigers · Home
Model Picks
17Team Leaders
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
AI Analysis
Seth Lugo u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-177) Projection 4.22
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Comerica Park as the 2nd-worst park for strikeouts in Major League Baseball, and it has the 9th-highest elevation, while today's game is expected to have 78% humidity; Seth Lugo has reduced his curveball usage by 9.9% this season, and his fastball velocity of 91.2 mph places him in the 21st percentile among starting pitchers since last season.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-112) Projection 2.06
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 8th-best batter in the league and is slated to bat 2nd in the lineup, while Comerica Park is ranked as the 10th-best stadium for boosting offensive stats, has the 3rd-shortest fences in MLB, and is at the 9th-highest elevation among major league parks.
AI Analysis
Riley Greene o0.5 Total Home Runs (+468) Projection 0.23
Riley Greene is projected in the 91st percentile for home run talent, batting 5th in the lineup at Comerica Park, which has the 3rd-shortest fences and 9th-highest elevation, while the game is expected to have 78% humidity.
AI Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+105) Projection 1.85
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in a game at Comerica Park, known as the #10 stadium for boosting offensive stats, which has the 3rd-shortest fences in MLB and is at the 9th-highest elevation, with today's game expected to have 78% humidity.
AI Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+130) Projection 1.84
Vinnie Pasquantino is expected to bat 3rd in a game at Comerica Park, which ranks 10th for boosting offensive stats, has the 3rd-shortest fences in MLB, is at the 9th-highest elevation among major league parks, and is forecasted to have 78% humidity, the 2nd-highest of the day.
AI Analysis
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+126) Projection 2.03
Riley Greene is projected in the 95th percentile for BABIP talent and is batting 4th in the lineup at Comerica Park, which ranks #10 for boosting offensive stats, has the 3rd-shortest fences in MLB, and is at the 9th-highest elevation among major league parks.
AI Analysis
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+116) Projection 2.02
Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 1st in the lineup with a batting average skill in the 90th percentile, playing at Comerica Park, which boosts offensive stats and features the 3rd-shortest fences in MLB, and he has the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo.
AI Analysis
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+127) Projection 2.03
Riley Greene is projected in the 95th percentile for BABIP talent and is batting 4th in the order at Comerica Park, which ranks 10th in boosting offensive stats, has the 3rd-shortest fences in MLB, and is at the 9th-highest elevation among major league parks.
AI Analysis
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases (+134) Projection 1.86
Kerry Carpenter is projected in the 95th percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, while Comerica Park, known for enhancing offensive stats, features the 3rd-shortest fences in MLB and is the 9th-highest elevation park, which typically contributes to increased offensive output; Carpenter will also face Seth Lugo with a platoon advantage in today's game.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.