MLB FINAL
San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants

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Apr 16, 2026
11:40 AM
Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds

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Model Predictions

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Result
Verified Track Record
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Team Leaders

Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
Batting Average
0-3, BB, K
AVG
Eugenio Suarez
Eugenio Suarez
Home Runs
0-2, BB
HR
Eugenio Suarez
Eugenio Suarez
Runs Batted In
0-2, BB
RBI
Chase Burns
Chase Burns
MLB Rating
6.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 K, BB
RAT
P.J. Higgins
P.J. Higgins
MLB Rating
1-2, BB, K
MLB
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
Batting Average
3-4, RBI, R, K
AVG
Willy Adames
Willy Adames
Home Runs
1-3, K
HR
Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
Runs Batted In
1-4, 2B, RBI, R, 2 K
RBI
Landen Roupp
Landen Roupp
MLB Rating
6.0 IP, 0 ER, H, 6 K, 2 BB
RAT
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
MLB Rating
3-4, RBI, R, K
MLB
MLB

Eugenio Suarez u0.5 Total Hits (+164) Projection 0.81

Eugenio Suarez's BABIP talent is in the 20th percentile, Landen Roupp has a platoon advantage against him, and Suarez's average exit velocity has dropped from 90.2 mph to 84 mph, with his flyball exit velocity decreasing from 93.8 mph to 74.6 mph and his launch angle decreasing from 15.8° to 6.8° over the last two weeks.

MLB

Matt Chapman u1.5 Total Bases (-182) Projection 0.77

Matt Chapman, batting from the same side as pitcher Chase Burns, faces challenges today due to strong opposing infield defense, a disadvantageous hitting direction, and reduced performance metrics.

MLB

Willy Adames u1.5 Total Bases (-163) Projection 0.8

Chase Burns has a handedness advantage over Willy Adames today, while the Cincinnati Reds infield defense is projected as the 2nd-strongest among today's teams; Adames's recent performance shows a decrease in exit velocity from 88.7 mph to 86.4 mph and a lower launch angle of 21.4° compared to his seasonal figure of 25.8°.

MLB

Matt Chapman u0.5 Total Hits (+151) Projection 0.79

Matt Chapman, batting from the same side as pitcher Chase Burns, faces a challenge due to his tendency to hit flyballs to center field and the strong infield defense of the Cincinnati Reds, compounded by the general decline in batter statistics when playing on the road and a decrease in his Barrel% from 9.8% to 4.2% this season.

MLB

Spencer Steer u1.5 Total Bases (-241) Projection 0.77

Spencer Steer is projected in the 16th percentile for BABIP skill, hitting 7th in today's lineup, has been pinch-hit for 12% of the time against right-handed pitchers this season, and faces Landen Roupp, who has a handedness advantage over him, while Steer's home run rate of 23.0 HR per 600 plate appearances exceeds the projection of 19.3 HR per 600 from THE BAT X.

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