MLB picks
Kansas City
Royals · Away
St. Louis
Cardinals · Home
Model Picks
11Team Leaders
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+115) Projection 1.77
Ivan Herrera, who ranks in the 94th percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X, is projected to bat 2nd and benefit from favorable conditions including high temperatures and home field advantage in today's matchup against pitcher Michael Wacha.
AI Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120) Projection 2.14
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in a matchup at Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height, with game temperatures forecasted to reach 81°, and he has a handedness advantage against pitcher Dustin May, who has a significant platoon split; Pasquantino's Barrel% has recently increased from 10.1% to 15.8% over the past 14 days.
AI Analysis
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+120) Projection 1.72
JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st today and ranks in the 88th percentile for offensive talent, while Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height, and today's game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures at 84°, giving Wetherholt a handedness advantage over Michael Wacha.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-132) Projection 2.45
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in MLB by THE BAT X and is scheduled to bat 2nd in a matchup at Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height, with favorable hitting conditions expected and an improved HR-optimizing launch angle percentage increasing from 16.1% to 23.1% in the last two weeks.
AI Analysis
Nolan Gorman u1.5 Total Bases (-250) Projection 0.74
Busch Stadium is ranked as the worst field for left-handed batters' home runs, presenting a challenge for Nolan Gorman, who hits 36.1% of his flyballs to the pull field, against the league's 2nd-deepest right field fences and faces extreme flyball pitcher Michael Wacha, while the Kansas City Royals have the strongest infield defense among today's teams, and Gorman's recent 0% HR-optimizing launch angle rate contrasts with his seasonal rate of 13%.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+120) Projection 1.77
Ivan Herrera ranks in the 94th percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X projections, is expected to bat 2nd in the order, and will face favorable hitting conditions against Michael Wacha at Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height.
AI Analysis
Dustin May o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+145) Projection 4.58
Dustin May averages 94.1 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile, and has increased his cut-fastball usage to 20.1%, while Pedro Pages is recognized as a good pitch framer, and May is expected to benefit from home field advantage, potentially leading to positive regression in his K/9 rate.
AI Analysis
Nolan Gorman u1.5 Total Bases (-213) Projection 0.73
Busch Stadium is ranked as the worst field for left-handed batters' home runs, and Nolan Gorman faces challenges against Michael Wacha due to his flyball hitting tendencies and the deep right-field fences.
AI Analysis
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+119) Projection 0.7
Michael Massey is projected to hit 8th in the lineup, has a BABIP skill assessment in the 7th percentile, pulls 37.7% of his flyballs, and is expected to have a .201 Expected Batting Average according to THE BAT X.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+129) Projection 1.74
Ivan Herrera ranks in the 94th percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X projections, is projected to bat 2nd in this matchup, and will face Michael Wacha in suitable hitting weather at Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height.
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