MLB picks
Minnesota
Twins · Away
Pittsburgh
Pirates · Home
Model Picks
15Team Leaders
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
AI Analysis
Zebby Matthews u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-147) Projection 4.56
Zebby Matthews has averaged -7.6 fewer adjusted pitches per outing this year than the league average while PNC Park ranks #9 in strikeout suppression and has the 6th-highest elevation among stadiums, contributing to a higher offensive output.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-103) Projection 2.35
Oneil Cruz is ranked as the league's 13th-best home run batter by THE BAT X and is batting 5th in today's game, where he has the advantage of facing a pitcher throwing from the opposite side and the benefit of home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Byron Buxton o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-111) Projection 2.32
THE BAT X ranks Byron Buxton as MLB's 4th-best home run hitter, and he is scheduled to bat 1st in a matchup at PNC Park, which has the 6th-highest elevation among stadiums, while the Pittsburgh Pirates have the 5th-worst outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+140) Projection 1.82
Oneil Cruz is ranked 13th in home runs by THE BAT X, is batting 5th today, has a favorable matchup against Zebby Matthews, benefits from home field advantage, and has 28.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances, placing him in the 84th percentile for power.
AI Analysis
Braxton Ashcraft o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+145) Projection 5.58
Braxton Ashcraft is projected in the 85th percentile for strikeout talent, with the weather showing low humidity at 29%, which is linked to increased strikeouts, and he benefits from home field advantage while averaging 96.3 mph fastball velocity in the 88th percentile and a 12.5% Swinging Strike rate in the 82nd percentile.
AI Analysis
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+102) Projection 1.95
THE BAT X ranks Byron Buxton as the 4th-best home run hitter in MLB; he is set to bat 1st in a lineup at PNC Park, which has the 6th-highest elevation among stadiums, while the Pittsburgh Pirates have the 5th-worst outfield defense, and Buxton's launch angle has improved to 23.8° this season from 17.5° last year.
AI Analysis
Byron Buxton o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-116) Projection 2.31
The BAT X ranks Byron Buxton as MLB's 4th-best home run hitter, positions him 1st in the lineup, while PNC Park is the 6th-highest stadium, and the Pittsburgh Pirates have the 5th-worst outfield defense, with Buxton's launch angle improving from 17.5° to 23.8° this season.
AI Analysis
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+123) Projection 1.8
Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X projection system, is projected to bat 2nd in today's lineup, has an advantage against Zebby Matthews due to pitching matchups, will benefit from home field advantage, and has improved his average exit velocity on flyballs from 94.9 mph to 97.6 mph this year.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-101) Projection 2.36
Oneil Cruz is ranked 13th in home runs by THE BAT X, is batting 5th today, has a favorable matchup against Zebby Matthews, benefits from home field advantage, and has a 28.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances, placing him in the 84th percentile for power.
AI Analysis
Josh Bell u1.5 Total Bases (-195) Projection 0.94
Josh Bell's BABIP skill is projected in the 13th percentile by THE BAT X, while PNC Park is rated as the 2nd-worst MLB park for left-handed home runs, has the 6th-tallest average fence height, the 7th-deepest fences in the league, and the weather forecast predicts 29% humidity, which is linked to decreased offensive output.
AI Analysis
Braxton Ashcraft o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130) Projection 5.82
Braxton Ashcraft is projected in the 85th percentile for strikeout talent by THE BAT, while three Minnesota Twins batters have an underlying K% over 27%, and Ashcraft benefits from home field advantage and a 96.3-mph fastball velocity in the 88th percentile.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+187) Projection 0.71
Oneil Cruz is ranked 13th among home run batters by THE BAT X, is batting 5th in today's game, has an advantage facing Zebby Matthews, benefits from home field conditions, and has an Expected Home Runs rate of 28.100 per 600 plate appearances, placing him in the 84th percentile for power.
AI Analysis
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+191) Projection 0.66
Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X, is projected to bat 2nd in today's game, has a favorable matchup against Zebby Matthews, benefits from home field advantage, and has improved his average exit velocity on flyballs from 94.9 mph last year to 97.6 mph this year.
AI Analysis
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+225) Projection 0.53
Josh Bell is projected to bat third against Braxton Ashcraft, benefiting from his strong side batting, while the Pittsburgh Pirates have the second-worst outfield defense, and his launch angle has increased from 10.7° to 15.3°, with a .269 wOBA suggesting he has been unlucky compared to his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.
AI Analysis
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+207) Projection 0.61
Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile for home run talent, is projected to hit 4th in today's game, has a handedness advantage against Braxton Ashcraft, and has an 85th percentile Barrel% of 13.6%, while the Pittsburgh Pirates have the 2nd-worst outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Kody Clemens u1.5 Total Bases (-174) Projection 0.86
PNC Park is projected as the 2nd-worst park for left-handed home runs, with the 6th-tallest fence height and the 7th-deepest fences in the league, while dry weather is expected to reduce offensive performance and Kody Clemens may face challenges due to playing on the road.
AI Analysis
Braxton Ashcraft o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-175) Projection 5.82
Braxton Ashcraft is projected in the 85th percentile for strikeout talent by THE BAT, while the Minnesota Twins' lineup includes three batters with a K% over 27%, and dry weather is expected to contribute to fewer runs and more strikeouts, with Ashcraft benefiting from home field advantage and boasting a fastball velocity in the 88th percentile at 96.3 mph.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+146) Projection 1.84
Oneil Cruz is ranked 13th in home runs by THE BAT X, is batting 5th in today's game, holds a power percentile of 84% with 28.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since last season, and benefits from the home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+123) Projection 1.82
Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile for home run talent, is projected to bat 2nd in today's game, has an advantage hitting against Zebby Matthews, enjoys home field advantage, and has improved his average exit velocity on flyballs from 94.9 mph last year to 97.6 mph this year.
AI Analysis
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+105) Projection 2.03
Byron Buxton is ranked as MLB's 4th-best home run hitter by THE BAT X and is set to bat first in a matchup at PNC Park, which has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, while the Pittsburgh Pirates possess the 2nd-worst outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Braxton Ashcraft u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-131) Projection 4.6
Braxton Ashcraft is projected to throw 71 pitches in today's game, the lowest on the slate, while PNC Park, ranked #9 for suppressing strikeouts and 6th in elevation, is assigned a Hitters Umpire.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+166) Projection 0.71
Oneil Cruz is ranked 13th among home run batters by THE BAT X and is batting 5th in today's game against the 5th-weakest infield defense of the Minnesota Twins, with a power score in the 84th percentile based on 28.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances.
AI Analysis
Zebby Matthews u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-159) Projection 4.56
The BAT X projects Zebby Matthews to throw 84 pitches today, the 10th-least among pitchers, while PNC Park, which suppresses strikeouts and is the 6th-highest in elevation, adds to his disadvantage as a visiting team player.
AI Analysis
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+139) Projection 1.68
Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X, is projected to bat 4th in today's game, has a handedness advantage against Braxton Ashcraft, and this season, his 13.6% Barrel% places him in the 85th percentile, while the Pittsburgh Pirates have the 2nd-worst outfield defense.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.