MLB picks
San Diego
Padres · Away
Philadelphia
Phillies · Home
Model Picks
16Team Leaders
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120) Projection 2.46
Bryce Harper is projected as the 9th-best hitter and will bat 3rd in today's game, where the weather is expected to reach 85° and he has the handedness advantage against Lucas Giolito, along with a high opposite-field rate suitable for the park's LF fences.
AI Analysis
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+115) Projection 1.9
Kyle Schwarber, the 2nd-best home run batter according to THE BAT X projection system, is projected to bat 1st in today's game against Lucas Giolito, who has a low strikeout rate, while the weather is forecasted to be the 3rd-hottest at 85°.
AI Analysis
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-141) Projection 2.45
Kyle Schwarber is ranked as the 2nd-best home run hitter by THE BAT X projection system, is set to bat first today, and benefits from hot weather and a favorable matchup against Lucas Giolito.
AI Analysis
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+166) Projection 1.59
Manny Machado is projected in the 89th percentile for offensive ability, batting third in the order at Citizens Bank Park, where the outfield is the smallest in Major League Baseball, with the weather forecast predicting a hot 85°F, potentially boosting offensive performance, while his Barrel% has increased from 8.6% to 18.5% over the last two weeks.
AI Analysis
Manny Machado o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+129) Projection 1.99
Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile for offensive ability according to THE BAT X projection system, is batting 3rd in the lineup, and is playing in Citizens Bank Park, the smallest outfield in MLB, while the weather forecast predicts a temperature of 85°.
AI Analysis
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+114) Projection 1.92
Kyle Schwarber is ranked as the 2nd-best home run batter by THE BAT X, projected to bat 1st in today's game, which takes place at Citizens Bank Park, known for its small outfield, while the weather forecast predicts a hot temperature of 85°, and Schwarber has a matchup advantage against Lucas Giolito.
AI Analysis
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+152) Projection 1.67
Jackson Merrill, projected to bat 5th, is in the 92nd percentile for batting average talent, faces a favorable matchup with the 3rd-hottest game temperature at 85°, benefits from Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, and has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, hitting towards shallow left-field fences.
AI Analysis
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+141) Projection 1.72
Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 18th-best hitter in MLB and is set to bat 1st today, while Citizens Bank Park, with the smallest outfield in the majors, and hot weather at 85° may influence offensive performance, despite his current .302 wOBA being significantly below the estimated true talent wOBA of .362 due to bad luck.
AI Analysis
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-154) Projection 2.45
Kyle Schwarber is ranked as the 2nd-best home run batter by THE BAT X and is projected to bat 1st in today's game at Citizens Bank Park, which has the smallest outfield, while the weather forecast predicts a high of 85°F, favorable for offense, and he will have a matchup advantage against pitcher Lucas Giolito.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+109) Projection 1.91
Bryce Harper is projected as the 9th-best hitter, hitting 3rd in the lineup, in a matchup with warm weather at 85°, facing Lucas Giolito, and has a strong opposite-field rate, making him well-suited for the park's shallow left-field fences.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+115) Projection 1.9
Bryce Harper is projected as the 9th-best hitter, will bat 3rd against Lucas Giolito, and is favored by favorable weather conditions and park dimensions.
AI Analysis
Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+179) Projection 1.54
Adolis Garcia is projected in the 83rd percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, and with Citizens Bank Park's small outfield, hot weather at 85°, and home field advantage, he aims to improve from a current .258 wOBA compared to an estimated .308.
AI Analysis
Alec Bohm o1.5 Total Bases (+147) Projection 1.63
Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th in today's game, with a batting average skill in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X, while playing at Citizens Bank Park, which has the smallest outfield and is experiencing hot weather of 85°F, typically enhancing batter performance.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+160) Projection 0.75
Bryce Harper is projected as the 9th-best hitter and will bat 3rd against Lucas Giolito in a game with a forecasted temperature of 85°, and he has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate for flyballs, fitting the park's dimensions.
AI Analysis
Gavin Sheets u1.5 Total Bases (-182) Projection 0.9
The BAT X projects Gavin Sheets in the 21st percentile for BABIP talent, Citizens Bank Park ranks #5 in MLB for suppressing hits to left-handed hitters, its elevation is near sea-level resulting in lower offensive output, playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics, and Sheets's Barrel% has dropped from 9.1% to 0% in the last 14 days.
AI Analysis
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+213) Projection 0.55
Manny Machado is projected in the 89th percentile for offensive ability, batting third in a game at Citizens Bank Park, where the weather is expected to reach 85°F, and he has improved his Barrel% from 8.6% to 18.5% over the last two weeks.
AI Analysis
Zack Wheeler u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100) Projection 6.01
The San Diego Padres are projected to have the least strikeout-heavy lineup today at 20.4 K%, while catcher J.T. Realmuto is identified as a weak pitch framer; the forecast predicts a game temperature of 85°, the third hottest of the day, and Zack Wheeler's fastball velocity has decreased to 94.4 mph this year from 95.4 mph last season.
AI Analysis
J.T. Realmuto u1.5 Total Bases (-190) Projection 0.92
J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 7th in the lineup against Lucas Giolito, who has the platoon advantage, while Citizens Bank Park is ranked #22 for right-handed base hits and has low elevation that may affect offensive output, with the San Diego Padres fielding the 2nd-strongest infield defense among teams in action today.
AI Analysis
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+151) Projection 1.6
Manny Machado is projected in the 89th percentile for offensive ability by THE BAT X, batting 3rd in a matchup at Citizens Bank Park, which has the smallest outfield in MLB, with the weather forecasted at 85°, and has recently improved his Barrel% from 8.6% to 18.5% over the last 14 days.
AI Analysis
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases (+140) Projection 1.58
Gavin Sheets has hit in the lower half of the batting order 51% of the time this year but is slated to bat 2nd today, in a matchup at Citizens Bank Park, which has the smallest outfield in MLB, while warm weather is expected at 86°, he holds the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler, who has a significant platoon split, and Sheets has recently improved his flyball exit velocity from 94 mph to 96.2 mph.
AI Analysis
Alec Bohm o1.5 Total Bases (+134) Projection 1.62
Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th in the lineup with a 96th percentile batting average skill, playing at Citizens Bank Park under hot weather conditions expected to enhance offensive performance.
AI Analysis
Bryson Stott u1.5 Total Bases (-194) Projection 0.86
Bryson Stott is projected to bat 6th, Citizens Bank Park is rated as the 5th-best in suppressing hits to left-handed hitters and has a low elevation that can lead to lower offensive output, while the San Diego Padres have the 2nd-strongest infield defense, and Stott has an average of 12.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances, ranking in the 21st percentile for power.
AI Analysis
Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+181) Projection 1.54
Adolis Garcia is projected in the 83rd percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, plays in the favorable hitting conditions of Citizens Bank Park, with a forecasted temperature of 86°, and has a .050 wOBA deviation from his estimated true talent level of .308.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.