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Seattle Mariners

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6 – 5
FINAL
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Baltimore

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Model Picks

5
Model
Pick
Result
Pulsar
Over 8.5
WIN
Ion
Over 8.5
WIN
Lumina
Over 8.5
WIN
Oxy
Over 8.5
WIN
Claude
Over 8.5
WIN
Verified Track Record
See season stats →

Team Leaders

Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tyler O'Neill
Tyler O'Neill
Batting Average
1-4, 2B, BB, K
AVG
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
Home Runs
1-5, HR, RBI, 2 R, 2 K
HR
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
Runs Batted In
1-4, 2 RBI, K
RBI
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
MLB Rating
1-5, HR, RBI, 2 R, 2 K
RAT
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
MLB Rating
1-5, HR, RBI, 2 R, 2 K
MLB
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
Batting Average
3-5, HR, 3 RBI, 2 R
AVG
Mitch Garver
Mitch Garver
Home Runs
1-4, HR, 3 RBI, R
HR
Mitch Garver
Mitch Garver
Runs Batted In
1-4, HR, 3 RBI, R
RBI
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
MLB Rating
3-5, HR, 3 RBI, 2 R
RAT
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
MLB Rating
3-5, HR, 3 RBI, 2 R
MLB

AI Analysis

MLB

Cole Young u0.5 Total Hits (+182) Projection 0.82

The BAT X projects Cole Young in the 25th percentile for BABIP ability, and he is set to bat 7th in today's game against Trevor Rogers while facing a disadvantage as a visiting player.

AI Analysis

MLB

Adley Rutschman u0.5 Total Hits (+156) Projection 0.81

Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 9th in today's game against Logan Gilbert, marking a change from his previous position in the top half of the lineup.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+115) Projection 1.88

Pete Alonso is ranked as Major League Baseball's 15th-best home run hitter and is batting 3rd in today's game, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the 9th-best stadium for run-scoring, and the Seattle Mariners have the 3rd-worst infield defense among today's teams.

AI Analysis

MLB

Trevor Rogers o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-145) Projection 5.79

The Seattle Mariners have the 5th-most strikeout-prone lineup with a 24.6% K%, Doug Eddings is the umpire for today's game, Trevor Rogers has home field advantage and ranks in the 88th percentile for fastball spin rate at 2445 rpm, and his K/9 rate of 6.79 indicates he may positively regress in future games.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-135) Projection 2.29

Pete Alonso is ranked as Major League Baseball's 15th-best home run hitter and is batting 3rd in today's game, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the 9th-best stadium for run-scoring, with Alonso's 80th percentile opposite-field rate making him well-suited for the park's shallow right field, and the Seattle Mariners have the 3rd-worst infield defense among today's teams.

AI Analysis

MLB

Victor Robles u0.5 Total Hits (+141) Projection 0.72

Victor Robles is projected to hit 8th in the batting order, has a flyball pull percentage of 35.4%, faces MLB's 4th-deepest left field fences, has a .252 batting average against a .200 expected batting average, and ranks in the 11th percentile for average exit velocity at 84.9 mph since the start of last season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Trevor Rogers o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115) Projection 5.79

The Seattle Mariners have the 5th-most strikeout-prone lineup with a 24.6% underlying K%, Doug Eddings is the umpire scheduled for today's game, Trevor Rogers has home field advantage, an 88th percentile fastball spin rate of 2445 rpm, and a 1.06 gap between his actual and estimated K/9 suggesting potential for positive regression.

AI Analysis

MLB

Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-112) Projection 2.16

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 2nd in today's game, showcasing a 94th percentile offensive skill according to THE BAT X, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards is rated as the 9th-best stadium for run-scoring and has the shallowest right field dimensions in MLB, providing Henderson an advantageous matchup against Logan Gilbert.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+119) Projection 1.8

Pete Alonso is ranked as Major League Baseball's 15th-best home run hitter, batting 3rd in today's game, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the 9th-best stadium for run-scoring, and the Seattle Mariners have the 3rd-worst infield defense.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-116) Projection 2.29

Pete Alonso is ranked as Major League Baseball's 15th-best home run hitter and is batting 3rd in today's game, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards is ranked 9th for run-scoring, Alonso has an 80th percentile opposite-field flyball rate of 33.7%, and the Seattle Mariners have the 3rd-worst infield defense among today's teams.

AI Analysis

MLB

Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-168) Projection 2.49

Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 8th-best batter in the league by THE BAT X and is expected to bat 2nd in today's game at Oriole Park, which is rated as the 9th-best stadium for run-scoring, benefitting from a platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers and hitting many flyballs to center field.

AI Analysis

MLB

Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (-102) Projection 2.06

Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 8th-best batter in the league and is expected to hit 2nd in the lineup while benefiting from the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers, with Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranked 9th for run-scoring.

AI Analysis

MLB

Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-114) Projection 2.16

Gunnar Henderson is projected in the 94th percentile for overall offensive skill and is batting 2nd in today's game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, which ranks 9th in run-scoring and has the shallowest right field dimensions in MLB, offering him an advantage against Logan Gilbert.

AI Analysis

MLB

Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+135) Projection 1.66

Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile for offensive ability and is projected to bat 1st in today's game at Oriole Park, which is the 9th-best stadium for run-scoring, while facing the Seattle Mariners, who have the 3rd-worst infield defense.

AI Analysis

MLB

Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+120) Projection 1.83

Gunnar Henderson is projected in the 94th percentile for offensive skill and will bat 2nd today at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, which has the 9th-best run-scoring environment in MLB and the shallowest RF dimensions.

AI Analysis

MLB

Adley Rutschman u0.5 Total Hits (+168) Projection 0.81

Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 9th in today's game against Logan Gilbert and will switch-hit from his weaker side.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+120) Projection 1.82

Pete Alonso is ranked as Major League Baseball's 15th-best home run hitter and is batting 3rd in today's game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, which is ranked 9th for run-scoring; he has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, while the Seattle Mariners have the 3rd-worst infield defense among teams playing today.

AI Analysis

MLB

Trevor Rogers o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+129) Projection 5.86

Doug Eddings, a Huge Pitchers Umpire, will oversee today's game where home field advantage may benefit Trevor Rogers, who has a fastball spin rate of 2445 rpm in the 88th percentile and a 1.06 gap between his 6.79 K/9 and the estimated true talent K/9 of 7.85, indicating potential for positive regression.

AI Analysis

MLB

Victor Robles u0.5 Total Hits (+147) Projection 0.78

Victor Robles has a high flyball percentage of 35.4% (84th percentile) but faces potential challenges at MLB's 4th-deepest left field fences, and his .252 batting average exceeds his .200 expected batting average, while his average exit velocity of 84.9 mph ranks in the 11th percentile and his launch angle of 6.8° is in the 12th percentile.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+163) Projection 0.67

Pete Alonso is ranked as the 15th-best home run hitter by THE BAT X, will bat 4th in today's game, and benefits from the home field advantage at Oriole Park, which is rated the 9th-best for run-scoring.

AI Analysis

MLB

Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+120) Projection 1.8

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 2nd in today's game and ranks in the 94th percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards is rated as the 9th-best stadium for run-scoring, featuring the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.

AI Analysis

MLB

Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+245) Projection 0.45

Coby Mayo is projected in the 93rd percentile for home run ability by THE BAT X, with Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranked 9th in run-scoring, where Mayo benefits from home field advantage, and he has improved his Barrel% from 10.3% to 19% and increased his exit velocity from 91.7 mph to 94.1 mph in the past two weeks.

AI Analysis

MLB

Patrick Wisdom u1.5 Total Bases (-250) Projection 0.63

Patrick Wisdom is projected to bat 7th today and faces a disadvantage against the league's 4th-deepest left field fences while playing away from home.

AI Analysis

MLB

Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+129) Projection 1.77

Gunnar Henderson is projected in the 94th percentile for offensive skills, batting 2nd in today's game at Oriole Park, which is rated as the 9th-best stadium for run-scoring and features the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.

AI Analysis

MLB

Patrick Wisdom o0.5 Total RBIs (+199) Projection 0.51

Patrick Wisdom is projected as the fourth-best home run hitter and has recently experienced a significant increase in exit velocity and barrel percentage, benefiting from facing a left-handed pitcher today.

AI Analysis

MLB

Samuel Basallo o0.5 Total RBIs (+199) Projection 0.48

Samuel Basallo ranks in the 85th percentile for home run ability, is projected to bat 5th, has a handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert, hits 38.2% of his flyballs to center field, and will play in a stadium ranked 9th for run-scoring with 4th-shallowest CF fences.

AI Analysis

MLB

Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases

Julio Rodríguez is a key player to watch as the Mariners face the Orioles, having excelled against left-handed pitchers this season with a 173 wRC+, .987 OPS, and strong recent performance against southpaws.

AI Analysis

MLB

Mitch Garver o0.5 Total RBIs (+223) Projection 0.49

THE BAT ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best stadium in the majors for run-scoring, and Mitch Garver has an advantage batting opposite Trevor Rogers with odds of +223 at Novig.

AI Analysis

MLB

Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+146) Projection 1.69

Taylor Ward is ranked in the 94th percentile for offensive ability and is projected to bat first in today's game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, which is the 9th-best stadium for run-scoring.

AI Analysis

MLB

Adley Rutschman o0.5 Total RBIs (+170) Projection 0.53

Adley Rutschman is projected in the 92nd percentile for offensive talent and will bat 3rd in the lineup at Oriole Park, which is ranked as the 9th-best stadium for run-scoring and has the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB, providing him with a home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total RBIs (+245) Projection 0.46

Tyler O'Neill is projected in the 97th percentile for home run skill by THE BAT X, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards is ranked 9th for run-scoring among major league stadiums, with the Seattle Mariners having the weakest infield defense today, and O'Neill's home run rate is significantly lower than expected based on Statcast data.

AI Analysis

MLB

Mitch Garver u1.5 Total Bases (-278) Projection 0.72

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 7th today, has a BABIP ability in the 5th percentile, pulls 40.7% of his flyballs, faces the game's 4th-deepest left field fences, and has seen his exit velocity on flyballs decrease from 96 mph to 92.8 mph this year.

AI Analysis

MLB

Patrick Wisdom u1.5 Total Bases (-239) Projection 0.65

Patrick Wisdom is projected to bat 6th today while facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences and playing away from home.

AI Analysis

MLB

Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+173) Projection 1.46

Coby Mayo is projected in the 93rd percentile for home run ability, Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the 9th-best stadium for run-scoring, the Seattle Mariners have the 4th-worst infield defense today, Mayo holds a home field advantage, and his Barrel% has increased from 10.3% to 19% in the last two weeks.

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