MLB picks
Atlanta
Braves · Away
Pittsburgh
Pirates · Home
Model Picks
16Team Leaders
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
AI Analysis
Matt Olson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+101) Projection 2.26
The BAT X projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile for home run talent and he is batting 3rd against Paul Skenes in a game expected to have 78% humidity, which may enhance offensive performance.
AI Analysis
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+173) Projection 0.68
The BAT X projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile for home run talent, batting 3rd in a game with 78% humidity, which may enhance offensive performance, and he has a handedness advantage against Paul Skenes.
AI Analysis
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+130) Projection 1.81
Matt Olson is projected in the 97th percentile for home run talent, batting 3rd in the lineup against Paul Skenes, in a game expected to have 78% humidity, which may correlate with increased offense.
AI Analysis
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (+125) Projection 2.02
Michael Harris II has a projected batting average in the 95th percentile and is expected to bat first in the lineup, while PNC Park is ranked 4th for lefty BABIP and today's game will have 78% humidity, which could enhance offensive performance.
AI Analysis
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+129) Projection 1.75
Drake Baldwin ranks in the 89th percentile for offensive skills according to THE BAT X projections and is slated to hit 4th in today's game at PNC Park, which ranks 4th for lefty BABIP and has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, while today's game is expected to feature the 3rd-highest humidity at 78%, correlating with increased offensive output.
AI Analysis
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+230) Projection 0.51
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup, with PNC Park ranked 4th for lefty BABIP, and the game expected to have 78% humidity, which correlates with increased offense; his Barrel% increased from 4.4% to 14.3% and exit velocity on flyballs rose from 89.6 mph to 96.2 mph.
AI Analysis
Matt Olson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+104) Projection 2.26
Matt Olson is projected in the 97th percentile for home run talent, batting 3rd in a game at PNC Park, which ranks 4th in MLB for lefty BABIP, with the game expected to have 78% humidity and an advantageous matchup against Paul Skenes.
AI Analysis
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-113) Projection 2.06
Ryan O'Hearn's batting average is projected in the 85th percentile by THE BAT X, as he is set to bat 5th in a game at PNC Park, which ranks 4th in MLB for lefty BABIP and has the 6th-highest elevation at 724 feet, with expected humidity at 78%, correlating with increased offensive output.
AI Analysis
Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+257) Projection 0.46
Austin Riley is projected in the 92nd percentile for home run skill by THE BAT X, while PNC Park ranks 4th for right-handed base hits; today's game is expected to have 78% humidity, which is correlated with increased offense, and despite a .278 wOBA this year, THE BAT X estimates his true talent wOBA at .337, with a power ranking in the 96th percentile for Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances.
AI Analysis
Paul Skenes u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-102) Projection 6.35
The Atlanta Braves have the 3rd-lowest strikeout rate at 19.7% among today's lineups, play in PNC Park which is ranked 8th-worst for strikeouts, and are projected to benefit from humidity at 78% along with having 7 batters with a platoon advantage against Paul Skenes.
AI Analysis
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+292) Projection 0.44
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Mike Yastrzemski in the 82nd percentile for offensive talent, projects his true offensive level at .330, and highlights a significant humidity level of 78% for today's game, which may enhance offensive performance.
AI Analysis
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+239) Projection 0.52
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in a game with 78% humidity, which may correlate with increased offense, and over the past week, his Barrel% surged to 14.3%, exit velocity on flyballs increased to 96.2 mph, and his rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle improved to 22.9%.
AI Analysis
Dominic Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+270) Projection 0.44
Dominic Smith is projected in the 77th percentile for batting average by THE BAT X, while PNC Park is ranked 4th in MLB for lefty BABIP, and today's weather is the 4th-most favorable for hitting, giving Smith an advantage against opposing pitcher Paul Skenes.
AI Analysis
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+203) Projection 0.62
Drake Baldwin ranks in the 89th percentile for offensive skills and is projected to hit 4th in today's game at PNC Park, which is the 4th-best stadium for lefty BABIP and has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, with favorable hitting conditions due to temperature and humidity.
AI Analysis
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+203) Projection 0.54
Michael Harris II is projected to have a 95th percentile batting average and bat 1st in the lineup against Paul Skenes, with favorable hitting conditions at PNC Park ranked 4th for lefty BABIP.
AI Analysis
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170) Projection 0.69
The BAT X projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile for home run talent, while he is batting 3rd today, with PNC Park ranked 4th in MLB for lefty BABIP, and the weather conditions are among the 4th most favorable for hitting.
AI Analysis
Paul Skenes u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-111) Projection 6.35
The Atlanta Braves have the 3rd-lowest strikeout rate at 19.7% among today's lineups, PNC Park is projected as the 8th-worst ballpark for strikeouts, it has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, the weather is favorable for hitting, and 7 Braves batters will have a platoon advantage against Paul Skenes.
AI Analysis
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+182) Projection 0.62
Drake Baldwin ranks in the 89th percentile for offensive skill and is projected to bat 4th in today's game at PNC Park, which is ranked 4th for lefty BABIP and has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, with weather conditions being the 3rd-most favorable for hitting today.
AI Analysis
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+182) Projection 0.69
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson in the 97th percentile for home run talent, positions him 3rd in the batting order, and notes that PNC Park is the 4th-best MLB stadium for lefty BABIP, with today's weather being the 3rd-most favorable for hitting.
AI Analysis
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+182) Projection 0.54
Michael Harris II is projected to have a 95th percentile batting average, bat 1st in the lineup, benefit from PNC Park's ranking as the 4th-best stadium for lefty BABIP, and face favorable hitting conditions with strong temperature and humidity against pitcher Paul Skenes.
AI Analysis
Esmerlyn Valdez o0.5 Total RBIs (+178) Projection 0.64
Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 88th percentile for home run talent and is batting 4th in today's game, while PNC Park is the #4 stadium for right-handed hits and the weather is favorable for hitting.
AI Analysis
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total Home Runs (+683) Projection 0.15
Mike Yastrzemski is projected in the 82nd percentile for offensive talent by THE BAT X, with favorable hitting conditions and a platoon advantage against Paul Skenes, despite a .033 discrepancy between his estimated true talent (.330) and his actual wOBA (.297).
AI Analysis
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+186) Projection 0.6
Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 20th-best hitter in MLB for BABIP, batting 3rd in a matchup at PNC Park, which ranks 4th for lefty BABIP and has a high elevation contributing to offensive output, with favorable weather conditions for hitting.
AI Analysis
Hurston Waldrep u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+106) Projection 4.34
The projection system THE BAT X estimates Hurston Waldrep will throw 85 pitches in his matchup, while PNC Park is rated as the 8th-worst ballpark for strikeouts, has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, and the weather is the 3rd-most favorable for hitting today, presenting Waldrep a challenge against 6 opposing batters from the other side without a platoon advantage.
AI Analysis
Hurston Waldrep u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+106) Projection 4.34
The BAT X projects Hurston Waldrep to throw 85 pitches in a matchup at PNC Park, which is the 8th-worst ballpark for strikeouts and has favorable weather for hitting, while Waldrep faces a challenging lineup without a platoon advantage.
AI Analysis
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+129) Projection 1.84
The BAT X projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile for home run talent, placing him 3rd in the batting order, while PNC Park is ranked 4th for lefty BABIP, has favorable weather conditions for hitting, and Olson has a handedness advantage against Paul Skenes.
AI Analysis
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+263) Projection 0.44
Mike Yastrzemski is projected in the 82nd percentile for offensive talent by THE BAT X, PNC Park is ranked 4th for lefty BABIP by THE BAT, today's weather is the 3rd-most favorable for hitting, he will have the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes, and his estimated true offensive talent of .330 suggests he has faced bad luck compared to his actual .297 wOBA.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.