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Chicago Cubs

Chicago

Cubs · Away

3 – 2
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh

Pirates · Home

Model Picks

16
Model
Pick
Result
Nova
Under 8.0
WIN
Helix
Under 8.0
WIN
Vortex
Under 8.5
WIN
Cipher
Under 8.0
WIN
Grok
Under 8.5
WIN
Mirage
Under 8.5
WIN
Atom
Under 8.5
WIN
Omega
Under 8.5
WIN
Pulsar
Under 8.5
WIN
Arcadia
Under 8.5
WIN
Ion
Over 8.0
LOSS
Lumina
Under 8.5
WIN
Oxy
Under 8.0
WIN
Zephyr
Under 8.5
WIN
Beacon
Over 8.0
LOSS
Rebel
Over 8.0
LOSS
Verified Track Record
See season stats →

Team Leaders

Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
Batting Average
2-3, RBI, R, BB
AVG
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
Home Runs
0-3, R, BB
HR
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
Runs Batted In
1-5, RBI
RBI
Jared Jones
Jared Jones
MLB Rating
6.0 IP, ER, 2 H, 5 K, BB
RAT
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
MLB Rating
2-3, RBI, R, BB
MLB
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Batting Average
2-4, HR, 2B, RBI, R, BB, 2 K
AVG
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Home Runs
2-4, HR, 2B, RBI, R, BB, 2 K
HR
Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson
Runs Batted In
1-4, RBI, 2 K
RBI
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
MLB Rating
2-4, HR, 2B, RBI, R, BB, 2 K
RAT
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
MLB Rating
2-4, HR, 2B, RBI, R, BB, 2 K
MLB

AI Analysis

MLB

Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+214) Projection 0.57

Alex Bregman is projected to bat fourth in today's game and is listed at +214 odds on DraftKings.

AI Analysis

MLB

Henry Davis o0.5 Total RBIs (+263) Projection 0.41

Henry Davis will have the handedness and home field advantages over Matthew Boyd in today's game, with odds of +253 at DraftKings.

AI Analysis

MLB

Esmerlyn Valdez u0.5 Total Hits (+160) Projection 0.81

The Chicago Cubs have the strongest infield defense among all teams in action today, with odds of +170 at Fanatics Sportsbook.

AI Analysis

MLB

Alex Bregman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105) Projection 2.05

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 4th in today's game with odds of +105 at Kalshi Sports.

AI Analysis

MLB

Carson Kelly o1.5 Total Bases (+210) Projection 1.33

Carson Kelly has a .340 Expected wOBA since last season, placing him in the 77th percentile for offensive ability, and he has a 1.46 K/BB rate this year, ranking in the 89th percentile for plate discipline.

AI Analysis

MLB

Brandon Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+125) Projection 1.91

Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile for home run ability and is projected to bat 2nd today, benefiting from home field advantage and showing improved exit velocity with an average of 94.2 mph in his last week of games.

AI Analysis

MLB

Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+126) Projection 1.75

Marcell Ozuna is projected in the 89th percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, will have the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd, benefits from home field advantage, has improved his launch angle from 14.6° to 19.5°, and despite a .278 wOBA, is expected to have better performance based on a .329 estimated true talent wOBA.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+127) Projection 1.89

Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X projections, is projected to bat 1st today, has a launch angle of 41.3° over the last week compared to a 20.7° seasonal mark, and has averaged 33.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since last season, placing him in the 94th percentile for power.

AI Analysis

MLB

Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases (+190) Projection 1.4

The BAT X projects Marcell Ozuna in the 89th percentile for home run talent, he has the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today, benefits from home field advantage, shows improved launch angle from 14.6° to 19.5°, and despite a .278 wOBA, has an estimated true talent wOBA of .329 with a +190 line at Fanatics Sportsbook.

AI Analysis

MLB

Esmerlyn Valdez u0.5 Total Hits (+150) Projection 0.81

Esmerlyn Valdez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 25% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.

AI Analysis

MLB

Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+155) Projection 1.63

Michael Busch, projected in the 93rd percentile for overall offensive talent, will bat 3rd today and has a favorable matchup against Jared Jones, having improved his exit velocity on fly balls to an average of 100 mph in the past week and a 68% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle recently, compared to a seasonal rate of 44.8%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+148) Projection 1.76

Seiya Suzuki is projected in the 96th percentile for offensive ability, set to bat 2nd, with improved metrics including a Barrel% increase from 9.6% to 18.2% and an exit velocity rise from 89.2 mph to 92.9 mph over the past week.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+120) Projection 1.87

Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X projections, is projected to hit 1st in today's batting order, has a recent launch angle of 41.3°, and averages 33.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances, placing him in the 94th percentile for power.

AI Analysis

MLB

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+203) Projection 1.48

THE BAT X projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile for offensive talent, noting a recent launch angle of 24.8°, higher than his seasonal average of 16.8°, and indicates a negative variance with a wOBA of .305 compared to his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.

AI Analysis

MLB

Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+203) Projection 0.65

Michael Busch is projected at the 93rd percentile for offensive talent, hitting 3rd in today's lineup, has a handedness advantage over Jared Jones, and has shown improved exit velocity on flyballs, averaging 100 mph in the past week compared to 92.4 mph seasonally and a 68% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle in the past two weeks.

AI Analysis

MLB

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+252) Projection 0.48

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) rates Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile for offensive talent, noting a recent launch angle increase to 24.8° compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, while he has a .305 wOBA this year, which is .036 below his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.

AI Analysis

MLB

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+830) Projection 0.14

The leading projection system, THE BAT X, ranks Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile for offensive talent, notes a recent launch angle of 24.8° compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, and indicates a negative variance in his .305 wOBA relative to an estimated true talent wOBA of .341, with odds of +900 at Fanatics Sportsbook.

AI Analysis

MLB

Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+155) Projection 1.76

Seiya Suzuki is projected in the 96th percentile for offensive ability by THE BAT X, is set to bat 2nd, and has improved his Barrel% to 18.2% and exit velocity to 92.9 mph over the past week.

AI Analysis

MLB

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1000) Projection 0.14

The BAT X projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile for offensive talent, noting a recent launch angle of 24.8°, significantly higher than his seasonal average of 16.8°, while also indicating a negative variance with a current wOBA of .305 compared to an estimated true talent wOBA of .341.

AI Analysis

MLB

Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+135) Projection 1.76

Seiya Suzuki is projected in the 96th percentile for offensive ability, expected to bat 2nd in the lineup, and has improved his Barrel% from 9.6% to 18.2% and exit velocity from 89.2 mph to 92.9 mph over the past week, while also increasing his launch angle hitting rate from 46.1% to 72.7%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Michael Busch o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550) Projection 0.17

Michael Busch is projected in the 93rd percentile for overall offensive talent by THE BAT X, will hit 3rd in today's lineup, has a handedness advantage over Jared Jones, has improved his average exit velocity on flyballs to 100 mph in the past week compared to a seasonal average of 92.4 mph, and has a .376 Expected wOBA since last season, placing him in the 95th percentile for offensive skills.

AI Analysis

MLB

Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+145) Projection 1.63

Michael Busch is projected in the 93rd percentile for offensive talent, batting 3rd in the lineup today at PNC Park, which ranks 7th in MLB for run-scoring; he has a handedness advantage over Jared Jones and has improved his average exit velocity on flyballs from 92.4 mph to 100 mph in the past week.

AI Analysis

MLB

Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+160) Projection 1.49

Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile for offensive talent according to THE BAT X projections, is projected to bat 5th, and will face Jared Jones from his strong side at PNC Park, which ranks 7th in run-scoring, while his recent launch angle of 35° is significantly higher than his season average of 15.9°.

AI Analysis

MLB

Michael Busch o0.5 Total Home Runs (+560) Projection 0.18

Michael Busch is projected in the 93rd percentile for offensive talent by THE BAT X, will hit 3rd in today's lineup, has a handedness advantage over Jared Jones, has improved his exit velocity to an average of 100 mph on flyballs recently compared to a season average of 92.4 mph, and sports a .376 Expected wOBA since last season, ranking in the 95th percentile for offensive skills.

AI Analysis

MLB

Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases (+188) Projection 1.41

Marcell Ozuna is projected in the 89th percentile for home run talent, will have the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd, and is benefiting from home field advantage, while his launch angle has improved from 14.6° to 19.5° this season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Michael Busch o0.5 Total Home Runs (+610) Projection 0.18

Michael Busch is projected in the 93rd percentile for offensive talent, hitting 3rd today against Jared Jones, and the game is expected to have the 14th-best pitching conditions, while Busch has recently improved his exit velocity on flyballs.

AI Analysis

MLB

Alex Bregman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+944) Projection 0.12

Alex Bregman ranks in the 84th percentile for offensive talent, is projected to bat 4th today, and has experienced an increase in average exit velocity on flyballs from 91.7 mph to 96.5 mph in the past week, while PNC Park ranks 6th in altitude among MLB stadiums and the game is expected to have the 7th-best pitching conditions.

AI Analysis

MLB

Michael Busch o0.5 Total Home Runs (+614) Projection 0.18

The BAT X projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile for offensive talent, with him hitting 3rd in the lineup today and facing favorable conditions against Jared Jones, as his recent average exit velocity on flyballs has improved to 100 mph compared to his seasonal average of 92.4 mph, and he is listed at +620 at DraftKings.

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