MLB picks
Boston
Red Sox · Away
Toronto
Blue Jays · Home
Model Picks
6Team Leaders
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-107) Projection 2.44
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter according to THE BAT X and is batting 3rd in today's matchup, which has the 8th-best weather for pitching, while he benefits from hitting many flyballs to center field and having home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+110) Projection 2.14
Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive talent, is projected to bat 3rd today, and benefits from favorable weather conditions and a matchup against Jameson Taillon, with odds of +100 at Fanatics Sportsbook.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+126) Projection 0.77
Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive talent, is projected to bat 3rd today, and has a favorable matchup against Jameson Taillon with optimal weather conditions for pitching.
AI Analysis
Masataka Yoshida o1.5 Total Bases (+165) Projection 1.66
Masataka Yoshida is projected to have a 95th percentile batting average, hit 5th in today's lineup, and benefit from favorable weather and matchup conditions against pitcher Jameson Taillon.
AI Analysis
Andruw Monasterio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600) Projection 0.17
This game is projected to have the 8th-best pitching weather among all today's scheduled games, with odds of +650 at DraftKings.
AI Analysis
Masataka Yoshida o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700) Projection 0.15
Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 79th percentile for overall offensive talent per THE BAT X projections, is projected to bat 5th today, and will have an advantage against extreme flyball pitcher Jameson Taillon.
AI Analysis
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Total Bases (+185) Projection 1.5
The BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile for batting average, with favorable conditions for his performance today due to home field advantage and a high percentage of flyballs to center field.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+147) Projection 1.83
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter by THE BAT X and is positioned 3rd in the batting order, with Rogers Centre ranked 6th for RHB home runs and favorable weather for pitching ranked 8th, while he hits 42.7% of his flyballs to center field, benefiting from facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences.
AI Analysis
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+130) Projection 1.75
Jarren Duran is projected to be in the 82nd percentile for BABIP ability by THE BAT X, while Rogers Centre is ranked as the 6th best ballpark for left-handed home runs and has the 9th-shallowest center field fences in MLB; today's game is expected to have the 8th-best weather for pitching and Duran will have the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon, with odds of +130 at Fanatics Sportsbook.
AI Analysis
Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+200) Projection 1.51
Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X, is batting 4th in today's game, Rogers Centre is projected as the #6 ballpark for lefty home runs and has the 9th-shallowest CF fences, while today's game is expected to have the 8th-best weather for pitching.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220) Projection 0.67
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter by THE BAT X, is batting 3rd in the lineup, plays in a favorable Rogers Centre for RHB home runs, faces good weather for pitching, and has an advantage with his flyball tendencies against shallow center field fences.
AI Analysis
Caleb Durbin o0.5 Total Home Runs (+940) Projection 0.13
Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 4th today, his first time hitting in the upper half of the lineup this season, while Rogers Centre is rated as the 6th-best MLB park for RHB home runs and has the 9th-shallowest CF fences, with today's game expected to have the 8th-best weather for pitching, and Durbin has recently improved his average exit velocity on flyballs from 89.2 mph to 102.3 mph.
AI Analysis
Andruw Monasterio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+720) Projection 0.17
The BAT projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-best MLB park for RHB home runs, with the 9th-shallowest CF fences and today's game expected to have the 8th-best pitching weather; Andruw Monasterio has a 20.9° launch angle in the 96th percentile and a .307 ISO in the 79th percentile.
AI Analysis
Masataka Yoshida o1.5 Total Bases (+139) Projection 1.7
Masataka Yoshida's batting average is projected to be in the 95th percentile, he is set to bat 5th in today's lineup, and the Rogers Centre ranks as the #6 ballpark for lefty home runs and has the 9th-shallowest center field fences, while the game is expected to have the 8th-best weather for pitching.
AI Analysis
Andres Gimenez o1.5 Total Bases (+241) Projection 1.36
Rogers Centre ranks 6th in MLB for left-handed home runs and has the 9th shallowest center field fences, while today's game is expected to have the 8th-best weather for pitching, favoring Andres Gimenez due to his advantageous matchup and home field effect.
AI Analysis
Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+189) Projection 1.51
Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile for overall offensive skill according to THE BAT X, is batting 4th in today's game, and Rogers Centre is rated as the #6 ballpark for lefty home runs and has the 9th-shallowest CF fences, with expected pitching weather ranked 8th among today's games.
AI Analysis
Andruw Monasterio o1.5 Total Bases (+151) Projection 1.57
The BAT projects Rogers Centre as the 6th best MLB park for RHB home runs, has the 9th shallowest CF fences, the game is expected to have the 8th best weather for pitching, Andruw Monasterio's base hit-maximizing launch angle has improved from 48.5% to 57.6% in the past two weeks, and his 20.9° launch angle is in the 96th percentile.
AI Analysis
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+165) Projection 1.77
George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X projections and is slated to bat 4th in a matchup at Rogers Centre, which is projected as the 6th-best park for RHB home runs and has the 9th-shallowest CF fences; today's game is anticipated to have the 11th-best weather for pitching, with odds of +165 at Fanatics Sportsbook.
AI Analysis
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+115) Projection 1.96
Willson Contreras is projected as the 15th-best hitter and is expected to bat 4th in today's lineup, while Rogers Centre ranks 6th for RHB home runs and has the 9th-shallowest CF fences, with the game anticipated to have the 11th-best weather for pitching.
AI Analysis
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+170) Projection 1.61
Kazuma Okamoto is projected in the 96th percentile for home runs by THE BAT X, while Rogers Centre is rated the 6th-best park for right-handed batters' home runs and has the 9th-shallowest center field fences; the game is expected to have the 11th-best pitching weather with a 9.6-mph wind blowing out to right field, the 2nd-most favorable for hitters, with odds of +165 at Fanatics Sportsbook.
AI Analysis
Nick Sogard u0.5 Total Hits (+191) Projection 0.93
Nick Sogard is projected in the 25th percentile for offensive skills, facing a disadvantage as a weaker switch-hitter against Jameson Taillon, while the Toronto Blue Jays boast the best infield defense today and Rogers Centre is ranked as the 2nd-worst field for left-handed batting average.
AI Analysis
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+163) Projection 1.77
George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile for offensive skill per THE BAT X projections and is set to bat 4th, while Rogers Centre is projected as the 6th-best park for RHB home runs and has the 9th-shallowest CF fences, with the game expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching.
AI Analysis
Jameson Taillon o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
The Boston Red Sox have a strong offense with a 120 wRC+, .348 wOBA, and .790 OPS over their last 21 games, while Toronto's Jameson Taillon has a 7.78 ERA and poor matchup statistics.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+143) Projection 1.83
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter, batting 3rd in the order, while Rogers Centre ranks 6th for RHB home runs and today's weather is 8th-best for pitching.
AI Analysis
Sonny Gray u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Sonny Gray faces a struggling Toronto Blue Jays offense, which has a 79 wRC+ and no hitters with strong ratings, while Gray has a high pitcher rating and stays under this prop 63.64% of the time.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs
Guerrero has one home run against Gray in 13 at-bats, with an average exit velocity of nearly 92 MPH, while Gray has allowed home runs in three of his last six starts.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu is highlighted for his potential to hit a home run against Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Jameson Taillon, who has the worst rating and struggles significantly against left-handed batters.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.