MLB MLB picks
MLB· ·
San Diego Padres

San Diego

Padres · Away

7 – 5
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland

Guardians · Home

Model Picks

7
Model
Pick
Result
Cipher
Under 7.5
LOSS
Arcadia
Over 7.5
WIN
Ion
Under 7.5
LOSS
Oxy
Under 7.5
LOSS
Zephyr
Over 7.5
WIN
Beacon
Under 7.5
LOSS
Claude
Under 7.5
LOSS
Verified Track Record
See season stats →

Team Leaders

Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
Batting Average
3-4, HR, 2B, 2 RBI, 2 R
AVG
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
Home Runs
3-4, HR, 2B, 2 RBI, 2 R
HR
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
Runs Batted In
3-4, HR, 2B, 2 RBI, 2 R
RBI
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
MLB Rating
3-4, HR, 2B, 2 RBI, 2 R
RAT
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
MLB Rating
3-4, HR, 2B, 2 RBI, 2 R
MLB
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
Batting Average
1-1, HR, 3 RBI, R, 2 BB
AVG
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
Home Runs
1-1, HR, 3 RBI, R, 2 BB
HR
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
Runs Batted In
1-1, HR, 3 RBI, R, 2 BB
RBI
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
MLB Rating
1-1, HR, 3 RBI, R, 2 BB
RAT
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
MLB Rating
1-1, HR, 3 RBI, R, 2 BB
MLB

AI Analysis

MLB

Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+153) Projection 1.61

Jose Ramirez is projected in the 93rd percentile for offensive skills by THE BAT X, expected to bat 3rd in the lineup, pulling 43.3% of his flyballs towards the 6th-shallowest RF fences, while benefiting from home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Steven Kwan o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105) Projection 1.88

Steven Kwan is projected to bat first today, has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and will benefit from home field advantage against Michael King.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+157) Projection 1.61

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th today with a 95th percentile batting average projection, has the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams, and holds an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs while facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest left field fences.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jose Ramirez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-102) Projection 2.25

The BAT X projects Jose Ramirez in the 93rd percentile for offensive skill, places him 3rd in the game lineup, highlights his 100th percentile flyball pull rate, and indicates he has home field advantage in today's matchup.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+109) Projection 1.94

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th today and ranks in the 95th percentile for batting average, while Progressive Field is the 2nd best venue for lefty BABIP and has the 7th-highest elevation among major league parks, providing him a handedness advantage over Gavin Williams.

AI Analysis

MLB

Michael King u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-178) Projection 3.77

The Cleveland Guardians are projected to have the least strikeout-prone batters and an advantage in handedness over pitcher Michael King, who faces a disadvantage as a visiting player and has a fastball velocity in the 18th percentile among starting pitchers.

AI Analysis

MLB

Michael King u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+143) Projection 3.77

The Cleveland Guardians are projected to have the lowest strikeout rate of any team, playing at Progressive Field, which has the 7th-highest elevation among major league parks, and they have 8 batters with a handedness advantage over visiting pitcher Michael King, whose fastball velocity ranks in the 18th percentile among starting pitchers.

AI Analysis

MLB

Manny Machado o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+127) Projection 2

Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile for offensive talent, is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup, has experienced an increase in exit velocity from 90.6 mph to 93.1 mph over the last 14 days, and is playing in Progressive Field, which has the #2 ranking for right-handed BABIP and the 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions.

AI Analysis

MLB

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+206) Projection 0.58

Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile for overall offensive talent, is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup, and has experienced an increase in exit velocity from 90.6 mph to 93.1 mph in the past 14 days, while Progressive Field has the 2nd-best BABIP for right-handed batters and 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+225) Projection 0.51

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th today and is in the 95th percentile for batting average ability, facing Gavin Williams at Progressive Field, which ranks as the #2 venue for lefty BABIP and has the 7th-highest elevation among major league parks.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total RBIs (+289) Projection 0.39

Jake Cronenworth is batting 2nd in the lineup at Progressive Field, which is favorable for left-handed hitters due to its high BABIP, elevation, and shallow left field fences.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+211) Projection 0.58

Jo Adell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup for today's game at Progressive Field, which ranks as the #2 venue for right-handed BABIP, while he is also in the 93rd percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X.

AI Analysis

MLB

Chase DeLauter o0.5 Total RBIs (+211) Projection 0.54

Chase DeLauter is projected in the 86th percentile for batting average and is expected to hit 2nd in the lineup at Progressive Field, which ranks as the #2 venue for lefty BABIP and has the 7th-highest elevation among major league parks.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+190) Projection 0.64

The BAT X projects Jose Ramirez in the 93rd percentile for offensive skill, and he is batting 3rd in the lineup at Progressive Field, which ranks as the #2 venue for lefty BABIP and has the 7th-highest elevation among major league parks, aiding offensive performance.

AI Analysis

MLB

Travis Bazzana o0.5 Total RBIs (+245) Projection 0.43

Progressive Field ranks as the #2 venue for lefty BABIP and has the 7th-highest elevation among major league parks, which enhances offensive performance; Travis Bazzana will benefit from a home field advantage and has seen his Barrel% increase from 4.3% to 14.3% over the past week.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1127) Projection 0.1

Jake Cronenworth is batting second in the lineup for today's game, benefiting from Progressive Field's high elevation and its favorable left-field dimensions against Gavin Williams, while recently improving his exit velocity to 89.8 mph.

AI Analysis

MLB

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+133) Projection 1.71

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball and is batting 1st in today's lineup at Progressive Field, which ranks as the #2 venue for right-handed BABIP and is 673 feet above sea level, contributing to better offense; he has improved his Barrel% from 11.4% to 26.3% over the last week.

AI Analysis

MLB

Gavin Williams u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135) Projection 6.25

Progressive Field, at 673 feet above sea level, ranks as the 7th-highest elevation among major league parks, and Gavin Williams has an 11.51 K/9 this year, exceeding the projection of 10.97 by 0.54 K/9.

AI Analysis

MLB

Gavin Williams u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+122) Projection 6.44

Progressive Field, at 673 feet above sea level, ranks 7th in elevation among major league parks, while Gavin Williams has an 11.51 K/9 this year, surpassing THE BAT's estimated true talent level of 10.97 by 0.54 K/9.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jackson Merrill u1.5 Total Bases (-198) Projection 0.93

Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest average fence height among all parks, and Jackson Merrill, who is on the visiting team, has shown poor plate discipline this year with a 3.73 K/BB rate, placing him in the 16th percentile.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total RBIs (+335) Projection 0.4

Jake Cronenworth is batting 2nd in the lineup at Progressive Field, which has favorable conditions for left-handed hitters and features the 3rd-shallowest left field fences.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+223) Projection 0.52

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th today and is in the 95th percentile for batting average, while Progressive Field, ranking #2 for lefty BABIP and being 673 feet above sea level, offers conditions that favor offense.

AI Analysis

MLB

Nathaniel Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+213) Projection 0.5

Nathaniel Lowe is projected in the 76th percentile for BABIP skill, batting fourth in the lineup at Progressive Field, which ranks second for lefty BABIP and has the seventh-highest elevation among major league parks, providing a favorable matchup against Michael King.

AI Analysis

MLB

Angel Martinez o0.5 Total RBIs (+190) Projection 0.56

Angel Martinez is projected to bat third in the lineup, marking an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom half this season, while Progressive Field ranks as the #2 venue for lefty BABIP and has the 7th-highest elevation among major league parks, contributing to improved offensive performance.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+186) Projection 0.57

Jo Adell is projected to hit 5th in today's game, with a home run talent ranking in the 93rd percentile according to THE BAT X, while Progressive Field is rated as the #2 venue for right-handed BABIP and features the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions.

AI Analysis

MLB

Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+147) Projection 1.59

Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup and ranks in the 86th percentile for batting average ability, while Progressive Field is the #2 venue for lefty BABIP and has the 7th-highest elevation among major league parks.

AI Analysis

MLB

Michael King u4.0 Strikeouts Thrown (-137) Projection 3.77

The Cleveland Guardians project to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone batters and possess 8 hitters with a handedness advantage over Michael King, who has a 92.3-mph fastball velocity in the 18th percentile among starters.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+212) Projection 1.28

Jake Cronenworth is batting 2nd in the lineup at Progressive Field, which has high lefty BABIP projections and favorable elevation for offense, offering him an advantage against pitcher Gavin Williams.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+223) Projection 1.28

Jake Cronenworth is batting 2nd in the lineup against Gavin Williams at Progressive Field, which is favorable due to its high elevation and lefty BABIP ratings.

25+ AI Models

See Every Model's Pick

Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.