MLB · Today · 1:15 PM
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh

Pirates · Away

6
St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis

Cardinals · Home

2

Model Picks

2
Model
Pick
Result
Helix
Under 8.0
PUSH
Claude
Under 8.5
WIN
Verified Track Record
See season stats →

Team Leaders

St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
Batting Average
1-4
AVG
Joshua Baez
Joshua Baez
Home Runs
1-4, HR, RBI, R, K
HR
Joshua Baez
Joshua Baez
Runs Batted In
1-4, HR, RBI, R, K
RBI
Joshua Baez
Joshua Baez
MLB Rating
1-4, HR, RBI, R, K
RAT
Joshua Baez
Joshua Baez
MLB Rating
1-4, HR, RBI, R, K
MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
Batting Average
2-4, R, K
AVG
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
Home Runs
1-3, HR, RBI, 2 R, 2 BB, 2 K
HR
Rafael Flores Jr.
Rafael Flores Jr.
Runs Batted In
1-4, HR, 3 RBI, R, 2 K
RBI
Rafael Flores Jr.
Rafael Flores Jr.
MLB Rating
1-4, HR, 3 RBI, R, 2 K
RAT
Rafael Flores Jr.
Rafael Flores Jr.
MLB Rating
1-4, HR, 3 RBI, R, 2 K
MLB

AI Analysis

MLB

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.54

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup and has a BABIP talent in the 97th percentile, while Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height and today's weather predicts temperatures of 86°, the 3rd-hottest of the day, favoring offensive play.

AI Analysis

MLB

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.58

Oneil Cruz is ranked as Major League Baseball's 13th-best home run batter by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 5th today, and will face Kyle Leahy with the platoon advantage at Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height, on a day predicted to be 86°.

AI Analysis

MLB

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (50%) Projection 2.05

Oneil Cruz is ranked as Major League Baseball's 13th-best home run batter by THE BAT X and is projected to bat 5th today, while Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height, and today's forecast predicts a high temperature of 86°, which is correlated with increased offense.

AI Analysis

MLB

Brandon Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (52%) Projection 2.05

Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X, is batting second in today's game, while Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height, and today's forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of 86°F, benefiting Lowe with the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy.

AI Analysis

MLB

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.53

Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile for home run skill, is batting 2nd in today's lineup, and will benefit from the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy, while the game is played at Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height, under high temperatures predicted at 86°.

AI Analysis

MLB

Esmerlyn Valdez o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.58

Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 96th percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X, is batting 4th in today's lineup, and Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height, with today's weather forecast predicting the 3rd-hottest game temperature at 86°, which correlates with increased offense.

AI Analysis

MLB

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (28%) Projection 0.46

Ivan Herrera ranks in the 90th percentile in offensive skills, is projected to bat 2nd in today's game, and is well-suited for Busch Stadium's shallow center field fences, with weather predicted to reach 86°.

AI Analysis

MLB

Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (54%) Projection 2.06

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by THE BAT X, and he is expected to bat 3rd in the lineup against Kyle Leahy at Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height, on a day projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of 86°.

AI Analysis

MLB

Alec Burleson u0.5 Total Hits (34%) Projection 0.95

Busch Stadium has the second-deepest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (39%) Projection 0.59

Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile for offensive ability, is projected to bat 4th, and will play at Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height, in weather expected to be 86°, enhancing offensive potential.

AI Analysis

MLB

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (49%) Projection 2.06

Oneil Cruz is ranked as Major League Baseball's 13th-best home run batter and is projected to bat 5th today, while Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height and today's weather is expected to be 86°, the 3rd-hottest of all games, providing an advantage against pitcher Kyle Leahy.

AI Analysis

MLB

Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.42

The BAT X projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile for offensive skill, and he is hitting 1st in the lineup today at Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height, while the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest game temperature at 86°, favoring more offense, and Horwitz will have an advantage hitting against Kyle Leahy.

AI Analysis

MLB

Kyle Leahy o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (63%) Projection 4.77

The Pittsburgh Pirates have three batters in their projected lineup today with an underlying K% over 27%, and pitcher Kyle Leahy, benefiting from home field advantage, utilizes his secondary pitches 60.5% of the time.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (42%) Projection 1.61

Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability, is projected to bat 4th in the lineup, and will play at Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height, amid weather conditions predicting the 3rd-hottest game at 86°, favoring his high flyball percentage to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) against the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences.

AI Analysis

MLB

Kyle Leahy o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (65%) Projection 4.77

The Pittsburgh Pirates have four batters in today's projected lineup with an underlying strikeout percentage over 27%, while pitcher Kyle Leahy benefits from home field advantage and a high utilization rate of his secondary pitches at 60.5%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Kyle Leahy o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (62%) Projection 4.77

The Pittsburgh Pirates feature four batters in today's projected lineup with a K% over 27%, while pitcher Kyle Leahy benefits from home field advantage and a 60.5% utilization rate of secondary pitches.

AI Analysis

MLB

JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (39%) Projection 1.53

JJ Wetherholt is ranked in the 90th percentile for offensive talent, is projected to bat 1st in the lineup, and will face Lake Bachar while playing in Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height, as temperatures are expected to reach 85°, the 4th-hottest of the day.

AI Analysis

MLB

Kyle Leahy u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (42%) Projection 3.69

Kyle Leahy is projected to throw 65 pitches today, faces a tough matchup with 6 opposing hitters from the opposite side, and recorded only 1 strikeout in his last start.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.63

Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability and is projected to bat 4th, while Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height and today's game is expected to have high temperatures at 85°, with Walker hitting 39.9% of his flyballs to center field.

AI Analysis

MLB

Esmerlyn Valdez o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.57

Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 96th percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X and is batting 4th in today's game, while Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height and the weather is forecasted to be 85°, the 4th-hottest temperature of the day.

AI Analysis

MLB

JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.43

JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 90th percentile for offensive talent according to THE BAT X projections, is projected to bat first in the lineup, and benefits from favorable weather conditions with an expected high of 85° during today's game.

AI Analysis

MLB

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (29%) Projection 0.41

Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball, with today's game expected to experience the 4th-hottest temperature at 85°, likely benefiting hitters like Nolan Gorman, who has home field advantage and faces a right-handed pitcher.

AI Analysis

MLB

Kyle Leahy u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (45%) Projection 3.54

Kyle Leahy is projected to throw 65 pitches today, faces a tough matchup with a lack of platoon advantage, pitched in high temperatures at Busch Stadium, and struggled with strikeouts in his last outing with only 1 K.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jared Triolo o0.5 Total RBIs (25%) Projection 0.33

Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball, and today's game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature at 86°, which is correlated with increased offense and fewer strikeouts, while Jared Triolo tends to hit 38.8% of his flyballs to center field, where the fences are the 7th-shallowest in the league.

AI Analysis

MLB

Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (28%) Projection 0.42

Joshua Baez is projected in the 92nd percentile for home run ability, will benefit from facing the 7th-shallowest CF fences at Busch Stadium, which has the 8th-lowest average fence height, and is playing in 86° weather, likely enhancing offensive performance.

25+ AI Models

See Every Model's Pick

Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.