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Today
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12:00 PM
New Orleans
Saints · Away
Detroit
Lions · Home
Model Picks
12AI Analysis
Travis Etienne Jr. o56.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 61.56 (Over)
The model predicts 134.4 plays for the game this week, with New Orleans Saints averaging 59.4 plays per game last year, while Travis Etienne is expected to finish in the 89th percentile with 15.5 carries, having received 55.5% of his offense's carries and averaging 57.0 adjusted rushing yards per game in the 90th percentile among running backs.
AI Analysis
Amon-Ra St. Brown o77.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 87.55 (Over)
This game is projected to have the highest number of plays this week at 134.4, will be played in a dome enhancing offensive potential, and Amon-Ra St. Brown is expected to receive an average of 10.6 targets, ranking in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
AI Analysis
Jahmyr Gibbs Score a Touchdown (Yes: 75%) Projection 0.97 (Yes)
This game is projected to have the highest play count of the week at 134.5, takes place in a dome, and features Jahmyr Gibbs, who had high air yards, strong WOPR, and a notable touchdown catching rate last year.
AI Analysis
Amon-Ra St. Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: 50%) Projection 0.67 (Yes)
The Lions are projected to pass on 59.4% of their opportunities, the 6th highest frequency this week, with the game expected to have the highest number of plays at 132.4, played in a dome which enhances passing effectiveness, while Amon-Ra St. Brown boasts a 38.5% Red Zone Target Share and 85.0 air yards per game.
AI Analysis
Chris Olave u76.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 66.32 (Under)
Chris Olave averaged 7.12 adjusted yards-per-target last year, ranking in the 18th percentile among wide receivers, while the Detroit Lions defense allowed a 62.6% adjusted completion rate against opposing WRs, the 7th lowest in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Jahmyr Gibbs o30.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 38.73 (Over)
The Lions are projected to pass on 59.4% of their opportunities, have the highest number of plays expected at 132.4, will play in a dome environment, and Jahmyr Gibbs is anticipated to receive 6.3 targets, ranking in the 99th percentile for running backs.
AI Analysis
Juwan Johnson u42.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 39.61 (Under)
Juwan Johnson had a 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year, ranking in the 2nd percentile, while the Detroit Lions defense allowed a 68.2% Adjusted Completion Rate against tight ends, the second-lowest in the league.
AI Analysis
Chris Olave u6.5 Receptions Made (59%) Projection 5.06 (Under)
In the previous year, the Detroit Lions defense allowed a 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate against opposing wide receivers, ranking as the 7th-lowest in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Chris Olave u76.5 Receiving Yards (52%) Projection 66.32 (Under)
Chris Olave averaged 7.12 adjusted yards-per-target last year, ranking him in the 18th percentile among wide receivers, while the Detroit Lions defense had a 62.6% adjusted completion rate against opposing WRs, the 7th lowest in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Tyler Shough u246.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 229.41 (Under)
Last year, the Lions defense allowed a 66.4% Adjusted Completion Rate, ranking 4th in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Sam LaPorta o41.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 50.99 (Over)
This game is projected to have the highest play count of the week at 134.4 plays, will be played in a dome, and Sam LaPorta is anticipated to receive 6.3 targets, placing him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
AI Analysis
Jared Goff o261.5 Passing Yards (52%) Projection 281.33 (Over)
The game is projected to have the highest number of plays this week at 134.4, takes place in a dome, and Jared Goff is expected to have 37.0 pass attempts, ranking 4th among quarterbacks, while averaging 237.0 adjusted yards per game and achieving a 66.9% Adjusted Completion percentage.
AI Analysis
Tyler Shough o16.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 21.04 (Over)
The New Orleans Saints are projected to have a 40.9% run rate, making them the 9th-least run-heavy team this week, with a total of 134.4 plays expected in the game.
AI Analysis
Jahmyr Gibbs u82.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 60.64 (Under)
The game will be held in a dome, increasing passing effectiveness, while projections indicate Jahmyr Gibbs will have a reduced role in Detroit's rushing attack at 47.7% against a New Orleans Saints defense that allowed 4.10 adjusted yards-per-carry last year.
AI Analysis
Chris Olave u5.5 Receptions Made (55%) Projection 5.06 (Under)
Last year, the Detroit Lions defense allowed a 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate against opposing wide receivers, ranking as the 7th smallest rate in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Chris Olave Score a Touchdown (Yes: 42%) Projection 0.52 (Yes)
The Saints are projected to pass on 59.2% of their downs as 7-point underdogs this week, with an anticipated 134.5 total plays in a dome environment.
AI Analysis
Jahmyr Gibbs o29.5 Receiving Yards (56%) Projection 38.22 (Over)
This game is projected to have the highest number of plays this week at 134.4, with Jahmyr Gibbs expected to receive 6.3 targets, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
AI Analysis
Chris Olave Score a Touchdown (Yes: 39%) Projection 0.54 (Yes)
The Saints are a -7-point underdog this week, with projections estimating a 59.1% passing rate, the 9th-highest in the league, and a game total of 134.4 plays, set in a dome for optimal passing conditions.
AI Analysis
Tyler Shough o16.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 20.78 (Over)
The game is projected to have 134.4 plays, with the New Orleans Saints averaging 59.4 plays per game last year, ranking 8th in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Jahmyr Gibbs Score a Touchdown (Yes: 74%) Projection 0.99 (Yes)
This game is projected to have the highest plays this week at 134.4, will be played in a dome enhancing passing dynamics, and Jahmyr Gibbs ranked highly among running backs with 2.0 air yards per game, 96th percentile in WOPR at 27.5, and 98th percentile in TD catches averaging 0.26 per game.
AI Analysis
Chris Olave u79.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 71.7 (Under)
Chris Olave averaged 7.12 adjusted yards per target last season, ranking in the 18th percentile among wide receivers, with a 0.00 yards-after-the-catch, while the Detroit Lions defense allowed a 62.6% adjusted completion rate to opposing wide receivers.
AI Analysis
Amon-Ra St. Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: 48%) Projection 0.67 (Yes)
The Lions are projected to pass on 59.4% of their opportunities, leading to an expected game total of 132.4 plays, and Amon-Ra St. Brown is noted for a 38.5% Red Zone Target Share and 85.0 air yards per game.
AI Analysis
Tyler Shough u246.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 220.16 (Under)
The Saints are projected to pass on 59.1% of their downs, ranking 9th highest this week, while the Lions defense allowed a 66.4% Adjusted Completion Rate last year, the 4th best in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Jared Goff o261.5 Passing Yards (52%) Projection 283.73 (Over)
The Lions are projected to pass on 59.4% of their plays, ranking 6th in frequency, with an expected highest total of 132.4 plays this week, while Jared Goff is forecasted to have the 3rd-most pass attempts at 37.0 in a dome setting that favors passing.
AI Analysis
Brock Wright Score a Touchdown (Yes: 8%)
The Lions may utilize a tight end-heavy offense under new OC Drew Petzing, who frequently used multiple tight end sets in Arizona, which could increase Brock Wright's playing time and production.
AI Analysis
Jared Goff o22.5 Passing Completions (53%)
Goff's prop is set at -125 due to his league-high 80.2 adjusted completion percentage last year, complemented by a favorable matchup against New Orleans, who ranked eighth in run defense DVOA.
AI Analysis
Amon-Ra St. Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: 47%)
St. Brown has scored double-digit touchdowns in three consecutive seasons, led all receivers in red-zone targets and receptions with a 38.9% target share last year, and will face a New Orleans secondary featuring debuting slot corner Jonas Sanker.
AI Analysis
Jahmyr Gibbs o79.5 Rushing Yards (57%)
In 2025, Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 1,223 yards and 13 touchdowns, and recorded 616 receiving yards for the Detroit Lions.
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