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Model Picks
16AI Analysis
Kyren Williams u61.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 55.76 (Under)
The Rams are projected to run 61.8 offensive plays, the 6th-fewest this week, benefitting the passing game due to calm weather, while Kyren Williams is projected to be involved in 46.2% of rush attempts, down from 60.1%, against the 9th-worst run-stopping linebackers.
AI Analysis
Kyren Williams u61.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 55.94 (Under)
The Rams are projected to call 62.3 offensive plays, the 6th-fewest this week, while calm weather is expected to benefit the passing game; however, Kyren Williams is forecasted to contribute only 46.3% of rush attempts in this game.
AI Analysis
Malik Nabers u5.5 Receptions Made (55%) Projection 4.62 (Under)
Currently, the Giants have the 8th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL at 58.8% adjusted for context, and this game is projected to have the 5th-fewest plays run this week at 126.4 plays.
AI Analysis
Isaiah Likely u46.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 42.53 (Under)
The Giants currently rank as the 8th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL with 58.8% adjusted for context, and this week’s game is projected to have the 5th-fewest plays at 126.4; Isaiah Likely had a YAC of 0.00 yards last year, ranking him among the best tight ends in gaining extra yardage, while the Los Angeles Rams defense allowed only 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends last season.
AI Analysis
Matthew Stafford o242.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 257.04 (Over)
Calm weather conditions will likely enhance the passing games of both teams, while Matthew Stafford ranks highly in volume and effectiveness as a top quarterback, and the New York Giants cornerbacks are among the weakest in the league.
AI Analysis
Matthew Stafford o242.5 Passing Yards (55%) Projection 260.13 (Over)
Calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) will aid both teams' passing games while hindering run volume, with Matthew Stafford averaging 30.9 pass attempts, 242.0 adjusted passing yards, and 8.11 adjusted yards-per-target last year, ranking high among quarterbacks; meanwhile, the New York Giants defense allowed the most yards-after-the-catch at 0.00 YAC.
AI Analysis
Jaxson Dart u29.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 21.2 (Under)
The Giants are a -7-point underdog this week, with an expected game pace of 27.06 seconds per play, benefiting the passing game due to calm weather conditions and less emphasis on ground volume.
AI Analysis
Malik Nabers o65.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 73.9 (Over)
The Giants are a -7-point underdog this week with an average of 59.7 plays per game, their passing game is expected to benefit from calm weather conditions, while the Rams defense has allowed the 6th-most pass attempts since last season, and the Giants' offensive line ranks as the 10th best in protecting the quarterback.
AI Analysis
Puka Nacua o85.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 89.92 (Over)
Calm weather conditions are expected to enhance the passing games of both teams, while Puka Nacua is projected to rank in the 97th percentile among WRs with 9.6 targets and has a 30.5% Target Share since last season, ranking among the most utilized WRs, with 89.0 adjusted receiving yards per game, while the New York Giants defense has allowed the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game (139.0) to wide receivers since last season.
AI Analysis
Jaxson Dart u29.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 21.2 (Under)
The Giants are a -7-point underdog this week, and the predictive model forecasts the game to have the 11th-worst pace at 27.06 seconds per play, with calm weather conditions favoring both teams' passing attacks.
AI Analysis
Jaxson Dart o213.5 Passing Yards (51%) Projection 226.7 (Over)
The Giants are a -7-point underdog this week, have averaged 59.7 plays per game since last season, and are expected to favor a passing game due to calm weather and a Rams defense that allows the 6th-most pass attempts in the league.
AI Analysis
Puka Nacua o85.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 90.11 (Over)
Calm weather conditions are expected to enhance the passing games of both teams while potentially reducing run volume; Puka Nacua is projected to receive 9.6 targets, ranking in the 97th percentile among WRs, and has a 30.5% target share since last season, along with an adjusted receiving yards average of 89.0 per game, while the Giants defense allows the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game (139.0) against WRs.
AI Analysis
Cam Skattebo o49.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 56.72 (Over)
The New York Giants are currently the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league with 41.1% context-neutralized and have averaged 59.7 plays per game since the start of last season, ranking 6th in the league.
AI Analysis
Malik Nabers o69.5 Receiving Yards (48%) Projection 76.22 (Over)
The Giants are a -7-point underdog this week, have an average of 59.7 plays per game, and face a Rams defense that allowed the 6th-most passes and surrendered the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards to wide receivers last year.
AI Analysis
Jaxson Dart o29.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 35.42 (Over)
The New York Giants are currently the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league with a context-neutralized rate of 41.1%, have the 6th-highest average of 59.7 plays per game since last season, and Jaxson Dart is projected to have the 4th-most carries among QBs this week with 6.8.
AI Analysis
Jaxson Dart o29.5 Rushing Yards (55%) Projection 35.44 (Over)
The New York Giants are currently the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league with 41.1% of plays, have called the 6th-highest average of 59.7 plays per game since last season, and Jaxson Dart is projected to have the 4th-most carries among QBs at 6.8 in this week's game.
AI Analysis
Jaxson Dart o213.5 Passing Yards (52%) Projection 226.7 (Over)
The Giants are a -7-point underdog this week, with the 6th-highest average of 59.7 plays per game since last season, while calm weather conditions may favor both pass attacks as the Rams' defense has allowed the 6th-most passing attempts (34.3 per game) and the Giants' O-line ranks 10th in quarterback protection.
AI Analysis
Malik Nabers Score a Touchdown (Yes: 34%) Projection 0.47 (Yes)
The Giants are a -7-point underdog this week and have averaged the 6th-highest number of plays in the league since last season at 59.7 per game, with favorable weather conditions and the Rams defense allowing the 6th-most pass attempts (34.3 per game) since last season, while the Giants' offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in protecting the quarterback.
AI Analysis
Puka Nacua o89.5 Receiving Yards (51%) Projection 89.89 (Over)
Calm weather conditions are expected to enhance the passing games of both teams, while Puka Nacua is projected to have 9.6 targets and ranks in the 97th percentile among WRs with a 30.5% Target Share and 89.0 adjusted receiving yards per game, as the New York Giants defense allows the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game to wide receivers.
AI Analysis
Jaxson Dart o29.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 35.43 (Over)
The New York Giants are the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league with a 41.1% run rate and have called the 6th-highest number of plays since last season, averaging 59.7 plays per game, while Jaxson Dart is projected to get 6.8 carries this week and is expected to account for 25.7% of the team's rush attempts, having averaged 31.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since last season.
AI Analysis
Malik Nabers o69.5 Receiving Yards (49%) Projection 75.19 (Over)
The Giants are a -7-point underdog this week, averaging 59.7 plays per game since last season, while calm weather conditions and the Rams' pass-funnel defense, allowing 34.3 passes per game, suggest an increased passing game, supported by the Giants' O-line ranking as the 10th-best in the league.
AI Analysis
Puka Nacua o79.5 Receiving Yards (61%) Projection 89.92 (Over)
Calm weather conditions are expected to enhance passing games for both teams, while run volume may decline, with Puka Nacua projected to receive 9.6 targets and ranking in the 97th percentile among WRs, alongside a 30.5% target share, and 89.0 adjusted receiving yards per game, while the New York Giants defense has allowed the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game to WRs.
AI Analysis
Jaxson Dart o29.5 Rushing Yards (55%) Projection 35.43 (Over)
The New York Giants are the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league with 41.1% context-neutralized, and they average 59.7 plays per game since last season, while Jaxson Dart is projected to have the 4th-most carries among QBs this week at 6.8, expected to contribute 25.7% of his offense's rush attempts with 31.0 adjusted yards per game on average.
AI Analysis
Puka Nacua o79.5 Receiving Yards (60%) Projection 89.89 (Over)
Calm weather conditions are expected to enhance the passing games of both teams, while run volume may decline; Puka Nacua is projected to rank in the 97th percentile among WRs with 9.6 targets and has a 30.5% Target Share and 89.0 adjusted receiving yards per game, while the New York Giants defense has allowed the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game to wide receivers.
AI Analysis
Isaiah Likely Score a Touchdown (Yes: 27%)
Isaiah Likely had four targets in the red zone, scored two touchdowns, and is the No. 2 option in the Giants' passing game, making him a strong candidate for a touchdown buy at 3x or better.
AI Analysis
Jaxson Dart o29.5 Rushing Yards (53%)
Jaxson Dart is projected to have 37.6 rushing yards and 7.2 carries in Week 2, as he likely plays from behind and has fewer kneel-downs.
AI Analysis
Matthew Stafford o249.5 Passing Yards (53%)
Matt Stafford is expected to perform better in Week 2 after averaging close to 300 yards per game at home in 2025, following adequate rest, despite the Giants' secondary limiting Dak Prescott to 175 yards in Week 1.
AI Analysis
Matthew Stafford o224.5 Passing Yards (59%)
Matthew Stafford returns home to face a weakened New York Giants secondary in Week 2, which struggled in Week 1 and is missing key players.
AI Analysis
Jaxson Dart Score a Touchdown (Yes: 29%)
Giants QB Jaxson Dart, a dual-threat player, had 11 carries in Week 1, rushed for nine touchdowns last season, and faces a strong red-zone defense from the Rams with a projected 30% to 36% chance of scoring in Week 2.
AI Analysis
Blake Corum o45.5 Rushing Yards (53%)
Blake Corum rushed 10 times for 54 yards in Week 1 and is expected to receive more playing time in Week 2, with projections for his rushing yards ranging from 46 to 67.
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