NFL picks
Houston
Texans · Away
Tennessee
Titans · Home
Model Picks
8AI Analysis
Tony Pollard o49.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 59.41 (Over)
The Titans are projected as the 7th-most run-oriented team, expected to run 65 plays with Tony Pollard averaging 15.7 rush attempts, ranking in the 88th percentile for running backs, while Pollard accounts for 61.4% of his offense's run game usage, placing him in the 91st percentile and averaging 53.0 adjusted yards per game, which is in the 79th percentile among running backs.
AI Analysis
Tony Pollard o49.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 59.67 (Over)
The Titans are projected to be the 7th-most run-oriented team with a 41.7% run rate and to run 65.0 offensive plays, while Tony Pollard is expected to have 15.7 rush attempts, ranking in the 88th percentile for running backs, with 61.4% run game usage and averaging 53.0 adjusted yards per game, placing him in the 79th percentile.
AI Analysis
Carnell Tate o49.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 56.05 (Over)
The Titans are 7-point underdogs with a projected 65 offensive plays this week, benefiting from the top-ranked O-line protection, while the Texans defense has allowed 178.0 receiving yards per game to WRs this season but has conceded the second-least adjusted yards-per-target at 7.4.
AI Analysis
Tony Pollard o49.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 59.41 (Over)
The Titans are projected to be the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league, expected to run the 8th-most plays with 65.0 offensive plays, while Tony Pollard is anticipated to have an average of 15.7 rush attempts, ranking in the 88th percentile among running backs and accounting for 61.4% of his offense's run game usage, which places him in the 91st percentile, averaging 53.0 adjusted yards per game, ranking in the 79th percentile.
AI Analysis
Woody Marks Score a Touchdown (Yes: 38%)
Woody Marks is a leading running back in an improved offense, having played 42% of snaps last week with six carries and two rushing touchdowns in consecutive games, alongside more red-zone opportunities than David Montgomery, making him a buy target at 40%.
AI Analysis
Nico Collins Score a Touchdown (Yes: 43%)
Nico Collins has a 43% target share in the red zone with three touchdowns and recorded seven catches for 118 yards and two scores last week, making him a valuable option in a favorable matchup against the Tennessee Titans.
AI Analysis
C.J. Stroud o249.5 Passing Yards (49%)
C.J. Stroud has surpassed 50% passing yards in three of four games, including 347 yards against Dallas, as Houston ranks sixth in passing and Tennessee allowed 285 passing yards last week.
AI Analysis
Nico Collins Score a Touchdown (Yes: 41%)
Nico Collins has scored three touchdowns in two games and holds 43% of Houston's red-zone targets, while Tennessee permits touchdowns on 66.7% of opponent red-zone trips.
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