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Model Picks
7AI Analysis
Isaiah Likely Score a Touchdown (Yes: 27%) Projection 0.35 (Yes)
The New York Giants will start backup QB Jameis Winston, making them 3.5-point underdogs, while the Washington Commanders have allowed the 9th-most pass attempts in the NFL this season; Isaiah Likely averages 24.0 air yards per game and ranks in the 75th percentile for tight end WOPR with a score of 29.7.
AI Analysis
Isaiah Likely Score a Touchdown (Yes: 28%) Projection 0.35 (Yes)
The New York Giants will start backup QB Jameis Winston, making them a 3.5-point underdog in a matchup against the Washington Commanders, who allow the 9th-most passing attempts in the NFL, while Isaiah Likely has increased his average air yards to 59.0 and improved his Weighted Opportunity Rating to 64.0 this season.
AI Analysis
Isaiah Likely Score a Touchdown (Yes: 28%) Projection 0.35 (Yes)
The New York Giants will start backup QB Jameis Winston, are 3.5-point underdogs, and face a Washington Commanders defense that allows high pass attempts, while Isaiah Likely has increased his average air yards from 19.0 to 59.0 per game and improved his WOPR from 23.1 to 64.0 this season.
AI Analysis
Jacory Croskey-Merritt o55.5 Rushing Yards (50%) Projection 59.78 (Over)
The Washington Commanders are a 3.5-point favorite this week, expected to run the ball on 48.1% of their plays, with the highest play call frequency in the NFL at 61.8 per game, while the Giants defense ranks as the worst in efficiency against the run, allowing 5.44 adjusted yards-per-carry.
AI Analysis
Cam Skattebo o56.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 66.55 (Over)
The Giants are projected to have the 4th-highest run rate at 46.4% this week, while the Washington Commanders' run defense has allowed just 5.01 adjusted yards-per-carry since last season, ranking 26th in the league.
AI Analysis
Jameis Winston o2.5 Rushing Yards (50%) Projection 7.48 (Over)
The Giants are projected to have a 46.4% run rate this week, while Jameis Winston is expected to have a 9.8% carry share, up from 3.7%, and he has averaged 19.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since last season, facing a Washington Commanders defense that allows 5.01 adjusted yards-per-carry, the 26th-smallest rate in the league.
AI Analysis
Cam Skattebo o12.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 19.13 (Over)
The New York Giants will start backup QB Jameis Winston and are 3.5-point underdogs against the Washington Commanders, who have allowed the 9th-most pass attempts in the NFL this season.
AI Analysis
Isaiah Likely o40.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 46.67 (Over)
The New York Giants will start backup QB Jameis Winston, facing a 3.5-point underdog position against the Washington Commanders, who allow the 9th-most pass attempts in the NFL, while Isaiah Likely is projected for 7.2 targets, ranking in the 98th percentile among tight ends, and has increased his air yards from 19.0 to 59.0 per game this season.
AI Analysis
Jayden Daniels o30.5 Rushing Yards (47%) Projection 33.86 (Over)
The Washington Commanders, favored by 3.5 points, are projected to run 48.1% of the time against the Giants, who have the worst efficiency against rushing attacks and the 4th-worst defensive ends in the league.
AI Analysis
Jameis Winston u31.5 Passing Attempts (53%) Projection 28.21 (Under)
The Giants are projected to have a 53.6% pass rate, calling only 60.7 total plays, while Jameis Winston is expected to throw 30.0 passes, ranking as the 3rd-fewest among quarterbacks.
AI Analysis
Isaiah Likely o40.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 46.67 (Over)
The New York Giants will start backup QB Jameis Winston, are 3.5-point underdogs, and face a Washington Commanders defense that allows high passing attempts, while Isaiah Likely is projected for 7.2 targets and averages 59.0 air yards per game.
AI Analysis
Jameis Winston u201.5 Passing Yards (52%) Projection 195.5 (Under)
The Giants are projected to have a 53.6% pass rate and call 60.7 total plays, while Jameis Winston is expected to throw 30 passes, ranking him as one of the least on-target QBs with a 56.6% Adjusted Completion percentage and 6.22 adjusted yards-per-target this season.
AI Analysis
Isaiah Likely Score a Touchdown (Yes: 28%)
Isaiah Likely has a 32% target share, recorded 12 targets with seven receptions last week, and is a leading red-zone threat facing a Commanders defense allowing 30.5 points per game.
AI Analysis
Cam Skattebo o56.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 66.54 (Over)
The Giants are projected to have the 4th-highest run rate this week at 46.4%, while the Washington Commanders' run defense has allowed only 5.01 adjusted yards-per-carry since last season, ranking 26th in the league.
AI Analysis
Cam Skattebo o14.5 Receiving Yards (50%) Projection 19.15 (Over)
The New York Giants will start backup QB Jameis Winston in their game against the Washington Commanders, where they are 3.5-point underdogs and the Commanders' defense is allowing the 9th-most pass attempts in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Isaiah Likely o39.5 Receiving Yards (56%) Projection 46.67 (Over)
The New York Giants will start backup QB Jameis Winston against the Washington Commanders, who allow the 9th-most pass attempts in the NFL, with projected tight end Isaiah Likely expected to receive 7.2 targets per game and averaging 59 air yards this season.
AI Analysis
Jayden Daniels Score a Touchdown (Yes: 27%) Projection 0.37 (Yes)
The Commanders average 61.8 plays per game, ranking 6th in the NFL, while the Giants defense has allowed the 5th-most passing touchdowns at 2.25 per game and the 6th-fewest rushing touchdowns at 0.50 per game.
AI Analysis
Cam Skattebo o12.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 19.15 (Over)
The New York Giants will start backup QB Jameis Winston and are 3.5-point underdogs against the Washington Commanders, who allow the 9th-most pass attempts in the NFL and have the 10th-worst safety corps in defending receivers.
AI Analysis
Jameis Winston u201.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 195.5 (Under)
The Giants are projected to have the 4th-lowest pass rate this week at 53.6% and call only 60.7 total plays, the 3rd-lowest, while Jameis Winston is expected to throw 30 passes, ranking 3rd-fewest among quarterbacks, with a 56.6% adjusted completion rate and 6.22 adjusted yards-per-target this season.
AI Analysis
Malachi Fields Score a Touchdown (Yes: 17%)
Fields has played at least 65% of the snaps in every game this season and scored his first career touchdown last weekend, providing the Giants a red zone advantage against the Commanders who have allowed 14 touchdowns in four games.
AI Analysis
Jayden Daniels o29.5 Rushing Yards (51%)
Daniels has surpassed the over/under rushing yards total in six of his last seven games and in all three career matchups against the Giants.
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